Haiti vs. Scotland - Exact Score

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Market context

Haiti and Scotland will meet in the group stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup on 13 June at 9:00 PM ET. The market resolves on the exact final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty shoot-outs. Any outcome not explicitly listed settles as "Any Other Score." The 0% probability assigned to this specific market reflects the vast combinatorial space of possible scorelines—there are 121 theoretically plausible exact-score outcomes across a typical international football match, making any single result statistically unlikely before the match occurs.

Historical precedent suggests exact-score markets in football derive pricing from underlying team strength differentials and volatility. Scotland qualified for the 2026 World Cup via UEFA play-offs; Haiti qualified through CONCACAF qualification. Scotland's UEFA ranking places them substantially higher than Haiti's CONCACAF ranking, which typically translates to a narrow win or draw being more probable than a Haiti victory. Comparable exact-score markets at major tournaments show that outcomes like 1–0, 2–1, and 1–1 cluster around 8–12% implied probability each, whilst higher-scoring lines or unlikely reversals trade at 1–3%. The current 0% reading likely reflects the market's early stage rather than genuine impossibility.

Traders should monitor squad announcements and injury updates from both federations through spring 2026, as key absences shift expected goal-scoring patterns. Fixture congestion in the days preceding 13 June may affect team rotation and fatigue levels. The settlement window closes 14 June at 01:00 UTC, allowing for fixture delays or rescheduling. Under German GlüStV and US CFTC frameworks, this market's accessibility depends on the operator's licensing jurisdiction; many platforms permit unverified trading up to $1,500 notional exposure, though exact-score markets often carry higher minimum stakes due to lower individual outcome probabilities.

Methodology

This page reviews Haiti vs. Scotland - Exact Score across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Polymarket Legal UK — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket Legal UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Polymarket Legal UK?

Zero. Polymarket Legal UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.