Haiti vs. Scotland - Total Corners

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Haiti and Scotland meet in a FIFA World Cup qualifying fixture on 13 June 2026, with kick-off scheduled for 21:00 ET. The corners market settles on the combined total number of corner kicks awarded during the match, with the current crowd-implied probability of 24% for YES suggesting traders expect fewer than a specified threshold—typically set at 9 or 10 corners in World Cup qualifying contexts.

Historical data from recent World Cup qualifiers shows corner totals vary significantly by opponent pairing and playing style. Scotland's recent qualifying campaigns have averaged 6–8 corners per match, whilst Haiti's participation in North American qualifying rounds produced matches with 5–7 corners on average. Comparable CONCACAF versus UEFA matchups in qualifying phases have settled between 8 and 12 corners, depending on territorial dominance and defensive intensity. The 24% probability reflects a market expectation leaning towards a lower-corner outcome, which aligns with Haiti's typical defensive approach and Scotland's mixed attacking consistency in away fixtures.

Traders should monitor squad announcements and injury updates from both federations, particularly Scotland's midfield availability, which directly influences corner-creation patterns. Weather conditions at the venue—humidity and wind can affect ball control and crossing accuracy—will become relevant in the final 48 hours before kick-off. From a regulatory standpoint, this market operates under different frameworks depending on trader jurisdiction: German GlüStV regulations classify prediction markets as gaming products requiring operator licensing; US CFTC oversight applies to binary derivatives on sports events traded by US persons; UK-based traders benefit from no-KYC requirements up to £1,500 notional exposure, which typically permits single-match corner markets without identity verification, streamlining access for smaller positions.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Legal UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Polymarket Legal UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket Legal UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Polymarket Legal UK?

Zero. Polymarket Legal UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket Legal UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.