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1. FC Cologne vs. Real Sociedad San Sebastian - Exact Score

"1. FC Cologne vs. Real Sociedad San Sebastian - Exact Score" on Polymarket, Kalshi and Polymarket Legal UK — what traders need to know about platform choice, KYC and tax law.

1. FC Cologne 2 - 0 Real Sociedad San Sebastian 98% 1. FC Cologne 2 - 2 Real Sociedad San Sebastian 5% 1. FC Cologne 0 - 3 Real Sociedad San Sebastian 2% Any Other Score 2% Volume: $2.1M Liquidity: $106K Closes: 7 Aug 2026
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1. FC Cologne vs. Real Sociedad San Sebastian - Exact Score

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Legal UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
98% 2% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
98% 2% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
1. FC Cologne 2 - 0 Real Sociedad San Sebastian98%
1. FC Cologne 2 - 2 Real Sociedad San Sebastian5%
1. FC Cologne 0 - 3 Real Sociedad San Sebastian2%
Any Other Score2%
1. FC Cologne 0 - 2 Real Sociedad San Sebastian1%
1. FC Cologne 3 - 0 Real Sociedad San Sebastian1%
1. FC Cologne 2 - 3 Real Sociedad San Sebastian1%
1. FC Cologne 0 - 0 Real Sociedad San Sebastian0%
1. FC Cologne 0 - 1 Real Sociedad San Sebastian0%
1. FC Cologne 1 - 0 Real Sociedad San Sebastian0%
1. FC Cologne 1 - 1 Real Sociedad San Sebastian0%
1. FC Cologne 1 - 2 Real Sociedad San Sebastian0%
1. FC Cologne 2 - 1 Real Sociedad San Sebastian0%
1. FC Cologne 1 - 3 Real Sociedad San Sebastian0%
1. FC Cologne 3 - 1 Real Sociedad San Sebastian0%
1. FC Cologne 3 - 2 Real Sociedad San Sebastian0%
1. FC Cologne 3 - 3 Real Sociedad San Sebastian0%

Market context

1. FC Cologne are due to face Real Sociedad in a club friendly, with the market settling on the full-time score rather than a winner-only result. That matters because the listed exact-score contract is unusually sensitive to late substitutions, rotation, and whether the sides treat the match as a standard 90-minute run-out or a more experimental pre-season fixture; any score outside the listed options falls into *Any Other Score* under the market rules.

The historical frame does not point strongly towards a 0% event. UEFA records show the clubs met in the 1988/89 European Cup Winners’ Cup, with Real Sociedad edging the tie overall on away goals after a 1-1 draw in Cologne and a 2-1 home win in San Sebastián.[2][11] Recent statistical aggregators also describe the matchup as typically open in goal terms, but those models are built from limited or mixed sample sizes and are less informative than the actual team news for a one-off friendly.[3][15] For a prediction market with a current 0% crowd-implied price, the main takeaway is that the market is effectively assuming one exact scoreline is unsupported by public information rather than impossible on the football itself.

For accessibility and compliance context, German GlüStV rules are relevant because Germany’s gambling framework is strict on unauthorised online wagering and may affect whether a German user can access or legally participate in a given venue, depending on licensing and local restrictions. The US CFTC can also have reach where a contract is viewed as a commodity derivative or listed event contract offered to US persons, so venue structure and user location matter. If the platform offers *no-KYC up to $1,500*, that usually means small-value participation can be made with lighter identity checks, but it does not remove geoblocking, sanctions screening, or any higher-tier verification that may apply once cumulative activity rises above that threshold.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This overview of 1. FC Cologne vs. Real Sociedad San Sebastian - Exact Score reviews the four comparable platforms from a regulatory perspective: which is accessible in your jurisdiction, where KYC kicks in, how the platform is classified by your country of residence. Live probability is the Polymarket mid; comparison columns show regulatory status, KYC thresholds and settlement options for each platform.

Resolution & payout

On Polymarket, resolution runs on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. USDC payout is instant and automatic, with no KYC. Tax treatment depends on your jurisdiction — in the US, gains are usually ordinary income; in the UK, often capital gains. Consult a tax professional for your situation.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Do I need to KYC for Polymarket Legal UK?
Not for lifetime trading volume under $1,500. Above that threshold, a quick KYC flow kicks in — ID, selfie, approximately 5-10 minutes. The threshold matches FATF travel standards for unregulated crypto platforms.
Is Polymarket regulated by the UKGC?
No. Polymarket is not licensed by the UK Gambling Commission (UKGC). It is a decentralised prediction market operated under US regulation. UK traders can use it but do not benefit from UKGC dispute resolution or player protection requirements.
What are the HMRC tax rules on Polymarket profits for UK traders?
Polymarket profits are treated as cryptocurrency disposal events by HMRC. Each USDC settlement is a taxable event subject to Capital Gains Tax (CGT). For 2026/27, the CGT rate is 18% (basic rate) or 24% (higher rate). The annual CGT exemption is £3,000. Report via HMRC Self Assessment if your total crypto gains exceed £3,000 or proceeds exceed £50,000.
Does Polymarket KYC apply to UK users?
Yes. Polymarket requires KYC (Know Your Customer) verification for all users, including UK residents. You must provide a government-issued photo ID and a selfie. The process typically takes 5–10 minutes via their ID verification provider.
What is the legal difference between Polymarket and Betfair Exchange for UK traders?
Betfair Exchange is UKGC-licensed, meaning UK consumer protections apply and winnings are typically tax-free. Polymarket is not UKGC-licensed — it operates under decentralised blockchain rules. Profits from Polymarket are subject to HMRC CGT as crypto disposals. Choose based on your regulatory preference and tax situation.
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