Highest temperature in Dallas on July 13?

Platform comparison

Market context

On 13 July 2026, the highest temperature recorded at Dallas Love Field Station will fall within one of several defined ranges. The National Weather Service maintains this official station as the primary observation point for the Dallas metropolitan area, and Wunderground's historical database aggregates these readings for public access. The settlement mechanism relies on a single data point: the peak temperature in Fahrenheit on that calendar day, with no averaging or adjustment applied.

Dallas July temperatures have historically clustered between 92 and 98 °F, though extremes have reached 103 °F in documented years. The 0% crowd probability reflects either extreme confidence in a specific temperature band or insufficient liquidity across all outcome ranges. Comparable weather markets on this platform show that summer temperature predictions in Texas often see late-stage volatility as the settlement date approaches, particularly when upper-atmosphere patterns shift in the preceding week. Historical precedent suggests that markets settling on single-day temperature events in this region tend to resolve toward the 94–97 °F range during mid-July, though this carries no predictive guarantee.

Traders should monitor the National Weather Service Dallas/Fort Worth office forecasts from 10 July onwards, when medium-range models stabilise. Upper-level ridge positioning and soil moisture anomalies—both tracked by NOAA's Climate Prediction Center—will influence whether the day trends toward seasonal norms or above-normal heat. The settlement window closes at 12:00 UTC on 13 July, allowing only morning observations to influence final resolution if Wunderground updates are delayed.

Methodology

This overview of Highest temperature in Dallas on July 13? reviews the four comparable platforms from a regulatory perspective: which is accessible in your jurisdiction, where KYC kicks in, how the platform is classified by your country of residence. Live probability is the Polymarket mid; comparison columns show regulatory status, KYC thresholds and settlement options for each platform.

Resolution & payout

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FAQ

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