Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Legal UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
50% | 50% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
50% | 50% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Swedish Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Thiago Agustin Tirante | 50% |
| Swedish Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Thiago Agustin Tirante Set 1 Winner | 50% |
| Swedish Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Thiago Agustin Tirante Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Swedish Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Thiago Agustin Tirante Match O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Swedish Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Thiago Agustin Tirante Set 2 Winner | 50% |
| Swedish Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Thiago Agustin Tirante Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Swedish Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Thiago Agustin Tirante Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Swedish Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Thiago Agustin Tirante Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Swedish Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Thiago Agustin Tirante Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 50% |
| Swedish Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Thiago Agustin Tirante Match O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| Swedish Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Thiago Agustin Tirante Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Swedish Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Thiago Agustin Tirante Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Swedish Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Thiago Agustin Tirante Match O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Swedish Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Thiago Agustin Tirante Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Completed Match | 4% |
Market context
Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 50% probability to swedish open: alejandro tabilo vs thiago agustin tirante. This market refers to the tennis match between Alejandro Tabilo and Thiago Agustin Tirante in the Swedish Open, originally scheduled for July 17, 2026 at 9:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Aleja…
Methodology
This overview of Swedish Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Thiago Agustin Tirante reviews the four comparable platforms from a regulatory perspective: which is accessible in your jurisdiction, where KYC kicks in, how the platform is classified by your country of residence. Live probability is the Polymarket mid; comparison columns show regulatory status, KYC thresholds and settlement options for each platform.
Resolution & payout
On Polymarket, resolution runs on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. USDC payout is instant and automatic, with no KYC. Tax treatment depends on your jurisdiction — in the US, gains are usually ordinary income; in the UK, often capital gains. Consult a tax professional for your situation.
FAQ
- Do I need to KYC for Polymarket Legal UK?
- Not for lifetime trading volume under $1,500. Above that threshold, a quick KYC flow kicks in — ID, selfie, approximately 5-10 minutes. The threshold matches FATF travel standards for unregulated crypto platforms.
- How are winnings taxed?
- Tax treatment varies by jurisdiction. In most countries, prediction market gains are treated as ordinary income or capital gains. We cannot provide tax advice — consult a tax professional for your specific situation.
- What happens during a tax audit?
- You're responsible for documenting your trades. Polymarket Legal UK exports a full transaction history (CSV/PDF) for tax reporting. In an audit you'll need to present these documents.
- Is there a withdrawal cap?
- No platform-side cap. You can withdraw any amount provided KYC is complete. SEPA bank withdrawals over €15,000 trigger additional anti-money-laundering checks (statutory obligation for all platforms).
- What if regulation changes?
- If regulation changes in your jurisdiction (e.g. prediction markets are banned), Polymarket Legal UK would geo-block the affected region and continue processing withdrawals. Your funds remain withdrawable at any time.
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