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ACF Fiorentina vs. Atalanta BC - More Markets

How the prediction-market book is pricing "ACF Fiorentina vs. Atalanta BC - More Markets" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

9% YES 91% NO Volume: $272K Liquidity: $221K Closes: 24 May 2026
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Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
PolyGram Pick
polygram.ink
9% 91% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open on PolyGram →
Polymarket
polymarket.com
9% 91% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open on PolyGram →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open on PolyGram →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open on PolyGram →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open on PolyGram →

Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.

Active sub-markets

Atalanta BC (-2.5)9% YES91% NO
O/U 0.593% YES8% NO
O/U 1.575% YES26% NO
O/U 2.550% YES51% NO
O/U 5.55% YES96% NO
ACF Fiorentina (-1.5)10% YES90% NO

Market context

Fiorentina host Atalanta in Serie A on 24 May, and this “More Markets” contract is effectively a catch-all on secondary outcomes around the match. At a crowd-implied 9% YES, the market is pricing a fairly specific combination of ancillary events rather than the main result, so historical read-throughs are more useful than headline form alone. Comparable football side-markets often settle on team news, line-up surprises, late disciplinary issues or whether the fixture is moved, rather than on the expected goals profile. That matters here because a low-probability “more markets” basket can move sharply on a single confirmed absence, referee appointment, or a change in match-day conditions.

For access and compliance, the practical framing is regulatory rather than sporting: contracts available to German users may be affected by GlüStV restrictions on online gaming-style products, while US-facing trading can sit within the broader reach of CFTC oversight if a venue is offering event contracts to US participants. “No-KYC up to $1,500” generally means a platform may allow limited-volume participation before identity verification is required, but it does not remove jurisdictional limits, tax reporting duties, or exchange controls. For this specific market, the main catalysts are squad announcements, any confirmation of kick-off or scheduling changes, and last-minute dependency on the final Serie A table; Reuters-style team updates and official club bulletins are the most relevant sources to watch.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). The odds column is filled only where we have clean data — that avoids the made-up numbers that get a network demoted when search engines cross-check against the source venue.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.

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