Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
35% | 65% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
35% | 65% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| ACF Fiorentina | 35% YES | 66% NO |
| Draw (ACF Fiorentina vs. Atalanta BC) | 27% YES | 74% NO |
| Atalanta BC | 38% YES | 63% NO |
Market context
ACF Fiorentina host Atalanta in a Serie A fixture at the Stadio Artemio Franchi, with the market set to resolve from the scheduled result rather than any wider season context. A 35% YES price implies the crowd sees Fiorentina as the underdog, which is broadly consistent with how similar Italian league head-to-head markets have priced when Atalanta arrive with stronger recent form and away-market support. For traders, the main compliance lens is access rather than matchday drama: in Germany, the GlüStV regime can affect whether a user can legally participate at all, while in the US, CFTC reach means some event contracts may sit in a narrower regulatory zone than ordinary sports betting. On a venue offering “no-KYC up to $1,500”, the practical effect is that smaller balances can usually be deposited and traded without identity checks, but higher-volume activity may still trigger verification, reducing friction for casual exposure to this market.
Comparable Fiorentina-Atalanta fixtures have tended to move on late team-news and rotation signals more than on headline names, especially when one side is balancing league position with cup or European commitments. The relevant catalyst is any confirmed line-up, suspension, or injury update before kick-off, as well as whether either club has schedule congestion in the final week of the season. FOX Sports and other live listings currently show the game as a regular-season Serie A meeting at 18:45 local time, so the main dependency is simple: if the fixture stays on schedule and proceeds with both first-team squads available, the pre-match price should remain anchored to team-strength and venue rather than external factors.
Methodology
This page reviews ACF Fiorentina vs. Atalanta BC across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at PolyGram — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
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