Bologna FC 1909 vs. FC Internazionale Milano

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Market context

Bologna and Inter Milan will contest a Serie A fixture on 24 May 2026, with the market currently pricing Bologna's victory at 26 per cent implied probability. Inter, as defending champions and consistent title contenders, enter as heavy favourites; the 26 per cent reflects the substantial gap in squad depth, recent form, and European competition experience between the two clubs. Bologna's home advantage at the Stadio Renato Dall'Ara provides marginal offset, though Inter's away record in Serie A typically remains robust.

Historical matchups between these sides show Inter winning approximately 60 per cent of encounters over the past decade, with Bologna securing victories in roughly 15 per cent of meetings. The current probability aligns with this asymmetry, though late-season Serie A fixtures occasionally produce volatility when title races tighten or European qualification spots remain contested. Comparable mid-table sides facing top-four opposition in May have historically settled between 20–30 per cent win probability, positioning this market within established ranges.

Traders should monitor Bologna's injury list and Inter's fixture congestion in the weeks preceding 24 May, particularly if European commitments extend into late spring. Announcements regarding managerial stability at either club, or unexpected form swings in April and early May, will influence probability shifts. Under German GlüStV regulations, this market remains accessible to EU traders; US CFTC oversight applies to certain derivatives structures, though binary sports outcomes typically fall outside direct jurisdiction. The no-KYC threshold of $1,500 USD per transaction permits retail participation without full identity verification on many platforms, though settlement and withdrawal procedures vary by jurisdiction.

Methodology

This page reviews Bologna FC 1909 vs. FC Internazionale Milano across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at PolyGram — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?

Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.