North America Regional Qualifier: Qualify to The International

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

The underlying event is the final North American regional Dota 2 tournament that determines which single team from the region earns a spot at The International 2026 Group Stage. This qualifier runs online from 24 to 27 June 2026, with the winner taking the one available slot for North America[2][5]. The current crowd-implied probability of 0% YES suggests the market believes no team will qualify, likely due to the market’s resolution condition that triggers on cancellation, postponement, or failure to publish the official Group Stage list before 15 August 2026[2].

Historically, similar regional qualifiers have resolved cleanly, with the winner advancing unless the tournament is disrupted by external factors like server failures or organisational collapse. In past years, when qualifiers were cancelled or delayed, prediction markets often resolved to “Other” rather than assigning a winner, mirroring the current market’s structure[3]. The 0% probability aligns with this precedent, framing the market as a bet on tournament integrity rather than team performance, where the primary risk is administrative failure rather than competitive outcome.

Traders should monitor the official announcement of the Group Stage participants, which must be published by 15 August 2026 to avoid an “Other” resolution[2]. Key catalysts include the final qualifier results on 28 June, any delays in the tournament schedule, and official communications from Valve or PGL regarding the event’s status[4]. Recent news confirms the North American regional qualifiers are set to begin within hours, with the final set of regionals on the Road to The International now underway[4]. For accessibility, German GlüStV implications and US CFTC reach mean that “no-KYC up to $1,500” allows users to trade this market without identity verification, provided they stay under the threshold, enhancing participation while maintaining regulatory compliance.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Legal UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket Legal UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What does it cost to trade on Polymarket Legal UK?

Zero. Polymarket Legal UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.