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Commanders vs. 49ers - Player Props

"Commanders vs. 49ers - Player Props" on Polymarket, Kalshi and Polymarket Legal UK — what traders need to know about platform choice, KYC and tax law.

Christian McCaffrey: Anytime Touchdown 100% Terry McLaurin: Longest Reception O/U 19.5 97% Jayden Daniels: Passing Yards O/U 124.5 95% Mike Evans: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 93% Volume: $84K Liquidity: $143K Closes: 20 Oct 2026
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Commanders vs. 49ers - Player Props

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Legal UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Christian McCaffrey: Anytime Touchdown100%
Terry McLaurin: Longest Reception O/U 19.597%
Jayden Daniels: Passing Yards O/U 124.595%
Mike Evans: Receiving Yards O/U 39.593%
Mike Evans: Receiving Yards O/U 69.593%
George Kittle: Anytime Touchdown93%
Christian McCaffrey: Receptions O/U 2.592%
Christian McCaffrey: Receptions O/U 4.592%
Christian McCaffrey: Receptions O/U 5.592%
Brock Purdy: Passing Yards O/U 199.591%
Christian McCaffrey: Rushing Yards O/U 39.591%
Kaelon Black: Rushing Yards O/U 19.590%
George Kittle: Team First TD (San Francisco 49ers)88%
Brock Purdy: Passing Yards O/U 249.586%
Mike Evans: Receiving Yards O/U 79.586%
George Kittle: Receptions O/U 3.586%
Jayden Daniels: Passing Yards O/U 149.584%
Jayden Daniels: Passing Yards O/U 174.582%
Brock Purdy: Passing Yards O/U 274.581%
Christian McCaffrey: Receiving Yards O/U 39.581%
Christian McCaffrey: Receptions O/U 6.581%
Christian McCaffrey: Receiving Yards O/U 29.580%
Brock Purdy: Passing Completions O/U 21.580%
Christian McCaffrey: Rushing Yards O/U 49.579%
Brock Purdy: Passing Touchdowns O/U 1.578%
George Kittle: Receiving Yards O/U 39.578%
George Kittle: Receptions O/U 4.578%
Rachaad White: Rushing Yards O/U 9.577%
Christian McCaffrey: Rushing Yards O/U 19.576%
Christian McCaffrey: Receiving Yards O/U 19.576%
Mike Evans: Receiving Yards O/U 89.576%
Kaelon Black: Rushing Yards O/U 24.573%
Jayden Daniels: Passing Yards O/U 199.572%
Brock Purdy: Rushing Yards O/U 9.572%
Jayden Daniels: Rushing Yards O/U 19.570%
Christian McCaffrey: Rushing Yards O/U 59.567%
Jayden Daniels: Passing Touchdowns O/U 0.566%
George Kittle: Receiving Yards O/U 49.566%
Rachaad White: Rushing Yards O/U 14.565%
Brock Purdy: Passing Yards O/U 299.561%
George Kittle: Receiving Yards O/U 69.560%
Mike Evans: Receiving Yards O/U 99.557%
Christian McCaffrey: Receiving Yards O/U 49.555%
Brock Purdy: Rushing Yards O/U 4.554%
Brock Purdy: Rushing Yards O/U 14.554%
Jayden Daniels: Passing Yards O/U 224.553%
Brock Purdy: Passing Yards O/U 149.551%
Brock Purdy: Passing Touchdowns O/U 0.551%
Kaelon Black: Rushing Yards O/U 4.551%
Rachaad White: Rushing Yards O/U 34.551%
Christian McCaffrey: Receiving Yards O/U 9.551%
George Kittle: Receiving Yards O/U 19.551%
George Kittle: Receiving Yards O/U 29.551%
Mike Evans: Receiving Yards O/U 29.551%
Mike Evans: Receiving Yards O/U 49.551%
Mike Evans: Receiving Yards O/U 59.551%
Christian McCaffrey: Receptions O/U 3.551%
George Kittle: Receptions O/U 2.551%
Mike Evans: Longest Reception O/U 24.551%
Brock Purdy: Passing Yards O/U 174.550%
Brock Purdy: Passing Yards O/U 224.550%
Jayden Daniels: Passing Yards O/U 99.550%
Jayden Daniels: Passing Touchdowns O/U 3.550%
Brock Purdy: Rushing Yards O/U 34.550%
Christian McCaffrey: Rushing Yards O/U 29.550%
Jacory Croskey-Merritt: Rushing Yards O/U 19.550%
Jacory Croskey-Merritt: Rushing Yards O/U 29.550%
Jacory Croskey-Merritt: Rushing Yards O/U 39.550%
Jacory Croskey-Merritt: Rushing Yards O/U 49.550%
Jacory Croskey-Merritt: Rushing Yards O/U 59.550%
Jacory Croskey-Merritt: Rushing Yards O/U 69.550%
Jacory Croskey-Merritt: Rushing Yards O/U 79.550%
Jayden Daniels: Rushing Yards O/U 9.550%
Jayden Daniels: Rushing Yards O/U 29.550%
Kaelon Black: Rushing Yards O/U 9.550%
Kaelon Black: Rushing Yards O/U 14.550%
Kaelon Black: Rushing Yards O/U 34.550%
Kaelon Black: Rushing Yards O/U 44.550%
Rachaad White: Rushing Yards O/U 4.550%
George Kittle: Receiving Yards O/U 59.550%
Mike Evans: Receptions O/U 2.550%
Mike Evans: Receptions O/U 3.550%
Mike Evans: Receptions O/U 4.550%
Mike Evans: Receptions O/U 5.550%
Mike Evans: Receptions O/U 6.550%
Mike Evans: Receptions O/U 7.550%
Mike Evans: Receptions O/U 8.550%
Jacory Croskey-Merritt: 2+ Touchdowns50%
Kaelon Black: 2+ Touchdowns50%
George Kittle: Longest Reception O/U 24.550%
Brock Purdy: Passing Attempts O/U 27.550%
Brock Purdy: Passing Attempts O/U 31.550%
Jayden Daniels: Passing Attempts O/U 27.550%
Jayden Daniels: Passing Attempts O/U 31.550%
Brock Purdy: Passing Completions O/U 19.550%
Brock Purdy: Passing Completions O/U 23.550%
Jayden Daniels: Passing Completions O/U 17.550%
Jayden Daniels: Passing Completions O/U 19.550%
Jayden Daniels: Passing Completions O/U 21.550%
Brock Purdy: Team First TD (San Francisco 49ers)50%
Chig Okonkwo: Team First TD (Washington Commanders)50%
Jacory Croskey-Merritt: Team First TD (Washington Commanders)50%
Jayden Daniels: Team First TD (Washington Commanders)50%
Kaelon Black: Team First TD (San Francisco 49ers)50%
Mike Evans: Team First TD (San Francisco 49ers)50%
Rachaad White: Team First TD (Washington Commanders)50%
Terry McLaurin: Team First TD (Washington Commanders)50%
Rachaad White: Rushing Yards O/U 19.548%
Christian McCaffrey: 2+ Touchdowns48%
George Kittle: Receptions O/U 5.547%
Christian McCaffrey: Team First TD (San Francisco 49ers)45%
Christian McCaffrey: Rushing Yards O/U 69.543%
Christian McCaffrey: Receiving Yards O/U 59.542%
Brock Purdy: Passing Yards O/U 324.541%
Kaelon Black: Rushing Yards O/U 29.539%
Kaelon Black: Rushing Yards O/U 39.539%
Brock Purdy: Rushing Yards O/U 19.538%
Rachaad White: Rushing Yards O/U 24.538%
Jayden Daniels: Passing Yards O/U 249.537%
Brock Purdy: Passing Touchdowns O/U 2.537%
Brock Purdy: Passing Attempts O/U 35.537%
George Kittle: 2+ Touchdowns34%
Jayden Daniels: Rushing Yards O/U 39.533%
Christian McCaffrey: Rushing Yards O/U 79.532%
Rachaad White: Rushing Yards O/U 29.532%
Jayden Daniels: Passing Touchdowns O/U 1.531%
Jayden Daniels: Passing Attempts O/U 35.531%
Mike Evans: Receiving Yards O/U 109.530%
Christian McCaffrey: Receiving Yards O/U 69.528%
Mike Evans: Anytime Touchdown28%
Brock Purdy: Rushing Yards O/U 24.526%
George Kittle: Receiving Yards O/U 79.526%
Jacory Croskey-Merritt: Rushing Yards O/U 9.525%
George Kittle: Receptions O/U 6.525%
Jacory Croskey-Merritt: Anytime Touchdown25%
Jayden Daniels: Passing Yards O/U 274.523%
Chig Okonkwo: Anytime Touchdown22%
Christian McCaffrey: Rushing Yards O/U 99.521%
Brock Purdy: Rushing Yards O/U 29.520%
Rachaad White: Rushing Yards O/U 39.519%
Christian McCaffrey: Receiving Yards O/U 79.519%
George Kittle: Receptions O/U 7.519%
Jayden Daniels: Anytime Touchdown19%
Jayden Daniels: Rushing Yards O/U 59.518%
George Kittle: Receiving Yards O/U 89.518%
Brock Purdy: Anytime Touchdown18%
Brock Purdy: Passing Touchdowns O/U 3.516%
Christian McCaffrey: Rushing Yards O/U 89.516%
Jayden Daniels: Rushing Yards O/U 49.516%
Kaelon Black: Anytime Touchdown16%
Brock Purdy: Passing Yards O/U 349.514%
Jayden Daniels: Passing Yards O/U 299.514%
Jayden Daniels: Rushing Yards O/U 69.514%
Rachaad White: Anytime Touchdown14%
Brock Purdy: Rushing Yards O/U 39.512%
George Kittle: Receptions O/U 8.512%
Jayden Daniels: Rushing Yards O/U 79.511%
Jayden Daniels: Rushing Yards O/U 89.511%
George Kittle: Receiving Yards O/U 99.511%
Mike Evans: 2+ Touchdowns11%
Rachaad White: 2+ Touchdowns11%
Jayden Daniels: Passing Touchdowns O/U 2.510%
Jayden Daniels: 2+ Touchdowns10%
Brock Purdy: 2+ Touchdowns9%
Terry McLaurin: Anytime Touchdown4%
Terry McLaurin: 2+ Touchdowns2%
Chig Okonkwo: 2+ Touchdowns1%

Market context

Commanders vs. 49ers - Player Props — current market-implied probability: 100%. Player prop markets for the NFL game between the Commanders and 49ers, scheduled for October 19 at 8:15 PM ET.

Methodology

This overview of Commanders vs. 49ers - Player Props reviews the four comparable platforms from a regulatory perspective: which is accessible in your jurisdiction, where KYC kicks in, how the platform is classified by your country of residence. Live probability is the Polymarket mid; comparison columns show regulatory status, KYC thresholds and settlement options for each platform.

Resolution & payout

On Polymarket, resolution runs on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. USDC payout is instant and automatic, with no KYC. Tax treatment depends on your jurisdiction — in the US, gains are usually ordinary income; in the UK, often capital gains. Consult a tax professional for your situation.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Is Polymarket legal in my country?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Actual usage via the Polymarket interface is not possible there. The legal status itself varies — many countries treat prediction markets as a gray area. Polymarket Legal UK has a different geo footprint.
Is Polymarket regulated by the UKGC?
No. Polymarket is not licensed by the UK Gambling Commission (UKGC). It is a decentralised prediction market operated under US regulation. UK traders can use it but do not benefit from UKGC dispute resolution or player protection requirements.
What are the HMRC tax rules on Polymarket profits for UK traders?
Polymarket profits are treated as cryptocurrency disposal events by HMRC. Each USDC settlement is a taxable event subject to Capital Gains Tax (CGT). For 2026/27, the CGT rate is 18% (basic rate) or 24% (higher rate). The annual CGT exemption is £3,000. Report via HMRC Self Assessment if your total crypto gains exceed £3,000 or proceeds exceed £50,000.
Does Polymarket KYC apply to UK users?
Yes. Polymarket requires KYC (Know Your Customer) verification for all users, including UK residents. You must provide a government-issued photo ID and a selfie. The process typically takes 5–10 minutes via their ID verification provider.
What is the legal difference between Polymarket and Betfair Exchange for UK traders?
Betfair Exchange is UKGC-licensed, meaning UK consumer protections apply and winnings are typically tax-free. Polymarket is not UKGC-licensed — it operates under decentralised blockchain rules. Profits from Polymarket are subject to HMRC CGT as crypto disposals. Choose based on your regulatory preference and tax situation.
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