🎁 New traders: 100% Deposit Match up to $500 · 0% fees · instant USDC payoutsClaim it →
Skip to main content
HomeGuideCryptoMarketsBlogTrade this market →

Chiefs vs. Dolphins - Player Props

Regulatory snapshot for "Chiefs vs. Dolphins - Player Props": platform geo-block status, KYC thresholds, tax implications.

Malik Willis: Passing Yards O/U 149.5 100% Malik Willis: Passing Yards O/U 174.5 100% Malik Willis: Passing Yards O/U 199.5 100% Patrick Mahomes: Passing Yards O/U 174.5 100% Volume: $100K Closes: 27 Sept 2026
Open live market →
Chiefs vs. Dolphins - Player Props

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Legal UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Malik Willis: Passing Yards O/U 149.5100%
Malik Willis: Passing Yards O/U 174.5100%
Malik Willis: Passing Yards O/U 199.5100%
Patrick Mahomes: Passing Yards O/U 174.5100%
Patrick Mahomes: Passing Yards O/U 199.5100%
Patrick Mahomes: Passing Yards O/U 224.5100%
Patrick Mahomes: Passing Touchdowns O/U 0.5100%
Patrick Mahomes: Passing Touchdowns O/U 1.5100%
Kenneth Walker: Rushing Yards O/U 49.5100%
Kenneth Walker: Rushing Yards O/U 59.5100%
Kenneth Walker: Rushing Yards O/U 69.5100%
Malik Willis: Rushing Yards O/U 19.5100%
Malik Willis: Rushing Yards O/U 29.5100%
Malik Willis: Rushing Yards O/U 39.5100%
Chris Bell: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5100%
Greg Dulcich: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5100%
Malik Washington: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5100%
Rashee Rice: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5100%
Rashee Rice: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5100%
Rashee Rice: Receiving Yards O/U 59.5100%
Rashee Rice: Receiving Yards O/U 69.5100%
Rashee Rice: Receiving Yards O/U 79.5100%
Travis Kelce: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5100%
Travis Kelce: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5100%
Travis Kelce: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5100%
Tyquan Thornton: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5100%
Xavier Worthy: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5100%
Chris Bell: Receptions O/U 1.5100%
Greg Dulcich: Receptions O/U 1.5100%
Kenneth Walker: Receptions O/U 1.5100%
Malik Washington: Receptions O/U 1.5100%
Rashee Rice: Receptions O/U 4.5100%
Rashee Rice: Receptions O/U 5.5100%
Rashee Rice: Receptions O/U 6.5100%
Tyquan Thornton: Receptions O/U 1.5100%
Xavier Worthy: Receptions O/U 1.5100%
Kenneth Walker: Anytime Touchdown100%
Kenneth Walker: 2+ Touchdowns100%
Ollie Gordon II: Anytime Touchdown100%
Travis Kelce: Anytime Touchdown100%
Rashee Rice: Longest Reception O/U 19.5100%
Travis Kelce: Longest Reception O/U 19.5100%
Malik Willis: Passing Attempts O/U 23.5100%
Malik Willis: Passing Attempts O/U 27.5100%
Malik Willis: Passing Attempts O/U 31.5100%
Malik Willis: Passing Completions O/U 15.5100%
Malik Willis: Passing Completions O/U 17.5100%
Malik Willis: Passing Completions O/U 19.5100%
Patrick Mahomes: Passing Completions O/U 17.5100%
Patrick Mahomes: Passing Completions O/U 19.5100%
Kenneth Walker: Team First TD (Kansas City Chiefs)100%
Ollie Gordon II: Team First TD (Miami Dolphins)100%
Malik Washington: Longest Reception O/U 19.5100%
Malik Willis: Passing Yards O/U 99.5100%
Malik Willis: Passing Yards O/U 124.5100%
Patrick Mahomes: Passing Yards O/U 124.5100%
Patrick Mahomes: Passing Yards O/U 149.5100%
Emmett Johnson: Rushing Yards O/U 9.5100%
Malik Willis: Rushing Yards O/U 9.5100%
Malik Willis: Rushing Yards O/U 49.5100%
Travis Kelce: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5100%
Travis Kelce: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5100%
Tyquan Thornton: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5100%
Tyquan Thornton: Receptions O/U 0.5100%
Greg Dulcich: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5100%
Greg Dulcich: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5100%
Greg Dulcich: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5100%
Greg Dulcich: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5100%
Malik Washington: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5100%
Malik Washington: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5100%
Malik Washington: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5100%
Malik Washington: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5100%
Greg Dulcich: Receptions O/U 2.5100%
Greg Dulcich: Receptions O/U 3.5100%
Malik Washington: Receptions O/U 2.5100%
Malik Washington: Receptions O/U 3.5100%
Kevin Coleman Jr.: Receptions O/U 0.5100%
Chris Bell: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5100%
Chris Bell: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5100%
Chris Bell: Receptions O/U 0.5100%
Chris Bell: Receptions O/U 2.5100%
De'Von Achane: Team First TD (Miami Dolphins)50%
Malik Willis: Passing Yards O/U 224.50%
Malik Willis: Passing Yards O/U 249.50%
Patrick Mahomes: Passing Yards O/U 249.50%
Patrick Mahomes: Passing Yards O/U 274.50%
Malik Willis: Passing Touchdowns O/U 0.50%
Malik Willis: Passing Touchdowns O/U 1.50%
Malik Willis: Passing Touchdowns O/U 2.50%
Malik Willis: Passing Touchdowns O/U 3.50%
Patrick Mahomes: Passing Touchdowns O/U 2.50%
Patrick Mahomes: Passing Touchdowns O/U 3.50%
De'Von Achane: Rushing Yards O/U 49.50%
De'Von Achane: Rushing Yards O/U 59.50%
De'Von Achane: Rushing Yards O/U 69.50%
De'Von Achane: Rushing Yards O/U 79.50%
De'Von Achane: Rushing Yards O/U 89.50%
Kenneth Walker: Rushing Yards O/U 79.50%
Kenneth Walker: Rushing Yards O/U 89.50%
Patrick Mahomes: Rushing Yards O/U 9.50%
Patrick Mahomes: Rushing Yards O/U 19.50%
Patrick Mahomes: Rushing Yards O/U 29.50%
De'Von Achane: Receiving Yards O/U 19.50%
De'Von Achane: Receiving Yards O/U 29.50%
De'Von Achane: Receiving Yards O/U 39.50%
Jalen Tolbert: Receiving Yards O/U 9.50%
Kenneth Walker: Receiving Yards O/U 9.50%
Kenneth Walker: Receiving Yards O/U 19.50%
Kenneth Walker: Receiving Yards O/U 29.50%
Travis Kelce: Receiving Yards O/U 59.50%
Travis Kelce: Receiving Yards O/U 69.50%
Xavier Worthy: Receiving Yards O/U 29.50%
Xavier Worthy: Receiving Yards O/U 39.50%
Xavier Worthy: Receiving Yards O/U 49.50%
Xavier Worthy: Receiving Yards O/U 59.50%
De'Von Achane: Receptions O/U 2.50%
De'Von Achane: Receptions O/U 3.50%
De'Von Achane: Receptions O/U 4.50%
Jalen Tolbert: Receptions O/U 1.50%
Kenneth Walker: Receptions O/U 2.50%
Kenneth Walker: Receptions O/U 3.50%
Travis Kelce: Receptions O/U 2.50%
Travis Kelce: Receptions O/U 3.50%
Travis Kelce: Receptions O/U 4.50%
Xavier Worthy: Receptions O/U 2.50%
Xavier Worthy: Receptions O/U 3.50%
Brashard Smith: Anytime Touchdown0%
Brashard Smith: 2+ Touchdowns0%
Chris Bell: Anytime Touchdown0%
Chris Bell: 2+ Touchdowns0%
Cyrus Allen: Anytime Touchdown0%
Cyrus Allen: 2+ Touchdowns0%
De'Von Achane: Anytime Touchdown0%
De'Von Achane: 2+ Touchdowns0%
Emmett Johnson: Anytime Touchdown0%
Emmett Johnson: 2+ Touchdowns0%
Greg Dulcich: Anytime Touchdown0%
Greg Dulcich: 2+ Touchdowns0%
Jake Briningstool: Anytime Touchdown0%
Jake Briningstool: 2+ Touchdowns0%
Jalen Royals: Anytime Touchdown0%
Jalen Royals: 2+ Touchdowns0%
Jalen Tolbert: Anytime Touchdown0%
Jalen Tolbert: 2+ Touchdowns0%
Jared Wiley: Anytime Touchdown0%
Jared Wiley: 2+ Touchdowns0%
Justin Joly: Anytime Touchdown0%
Justin Joly: 2+ Touchdowns0%
Kevin Coleman Jr.: Anytime Touchdown0%
Kevin Coleman Jr.: 2+ Touchdowns0%
Malik Washington: Anytime Touchdown0%
Malik Washington: 2+ Touchdowns0%
Malik Willis: Anytime Touchdown0%
Malik Willis: 2+ Touchdowns0%
Nikko Remigio: Anytime Touchdown0%
Nikko Remigio: 2+ Touchdowns0%
Noah Gray: Anytime Touchdown0%
Noah Gray: 2+ Touchdowns0%
Ollie Gordon II: 2+ Touchdowns0%
Patrick Mahomes: Anytime Touchdown0%
Patrick Mahomes: 2+ Touchdowns0%
Rashee Rice: Anytime Touchdown0%
Rashee Rice: 2+ Touchdowns0%
Ryan Miller: Anytime Touchdown0%
Ryan Miller: 2+ Touchdowns0%
Seydou Traore: Anytime Touchdown0%
Seydou Traore: 2+ Touchdowns0%
Travis Kelce: 2+ Touchdowns0%
Tyquan Thornton: Anytime Touchdown0%
Tyquan Thornton: 2+ Touchdowns0%
Will Kacmarek: Anytime Touchdown0%
Will Kacmarek: 2+ Touchdowns0%
Xavier Worthy: Anytime Touchdown0%
Xavier Worthy: 2+ Touchdowns0%
Xavier Worthy: Longest Reception O/U 19.50%
Patrick Mahomes: Passing Attempts O/U 27.50%
Patrick Mahomes: Passing Attempts O/U 31.50%
Patrick Mahomes: Passing Attempts O/U 35.50%
Patrick Mahomes: Passing Completions O/U 21.50%
Brashard Smith: Team First TD (Kansas City Chiefs)0%
Chris Bell: Team First TD (Miami Dolphins)0%
Cyrus Allen: Team First TD (Kansas City Chiefs)0%
Emmett Johnson: Team First TD (Kansas City Chiefs)0%
Greg Dulcich: Team First TD (Miami Dolphins)0%
Jake Briningstool: Team First TD (Kansas City Chiefs)0%
Jalen Royals: Team First TD (Kansas City Chiefs)0%
Jalen Tolbert: Team First TD (Miami Dolphins)0%
Jared Wiley: Team First TD (Kansas City Chiefs)0%
Justin Joly: Team First TD (Miami Dolphins)0%
Kevin Coleman Jr.: Team First TD (Miami Dolphins)0%
Malik Washington: Team First TD (Miami Dolphins)0%
Malik Willis: Team First TD (Miami Dolphins)0%
Nikko Remigio: Team First TD (Kansas City Chiefs)0%
Noah Gray: Team First TD (Kansas City Chiefs)0%
Patrick Mahomes: Team First TD (Kansas City Chiefs)0%
Rashee Rice: Team First TD (Kansas City Chiefs)0%
Ryan Miller: Team First TD (Miami Dolphins)0%
Seydou Traore: Team First TD (Miami Dolphins)0%
Travis Kelce: Team First TD (Kansas City Chiefs)0%
Tyquan Thornton: Team First TD (Kansas City Chiefs)0%
Will Kacmarek: Team First TD (Miami Dolphins)0%
Xavier Worthy: Team First TD (Kansas City Chiefs)0%
Malik Willis: Passing Yards O/U 274.50%
Patrick Mahomes: Passing Yards O/U 299.50%
Patrick Mahomes: Passing Yards O/U 324.50%
De'Von Achane: Rushing Yards O/U 29.50%
De'Von Achane: Rushing Yards O/U 39.50%
Emmett Johnson: Rushing Yards O/U 19.50%
Emmett Johnson: Rushing Yards O/U 29.50%
Kenneth Walker: Rushing Yards O/U 99.50%
Kenneth Walker: Rushing Yards O/U 109.50%
Malik Willis: Rushing Yards O/U 59.50%
Malik Willis: Rushing Yards O/U 69.50%
Patrick Mahomes: Rushing Yards O/U 14.50%
Patrick Mahomes: Rushing Yards O/U 24.50%
De'Von Achane: Receiving Yards O/U 9.50%
De'Von Achane: Receiving Yards O/U 49.50%
Travis Kelce: Receiving Yards O/U 79.50%
Travis Kelce: Receiving Yards O/U 89.50%
Tyquan Thornton: Receiving Yards O/U 29.50%
Tyquan Thornton: Receptions O/U 2.50%
Jalen Tolbert: Receiving Yards O/U 19.50%
Jalen Tolbert: Receiving Yards O/U 29.50%
Kevin Coleman Jr.: Receiving Yards O/U 9.50%
Kevin Coleman Jr.: Receiving Yards O/U 19.50%
Kevin Coleman Jr.: Receiving Yards O/U 29.50%
Kevin Coleman Jr.: Receptions O/U 1.50%
Kevin Coleman Jr.: Receptions O/U 2.50%
Malik Willis: Passing Yards O/U 299.50%
Kenneth Walker: Receiving Yards O/U 39.50%
Kenneth Walker: Receiving Yards O/U 49.50%
Tyquan Thornton: Receiving Yards O/U 39.50%
Tyquan Thornton: Receiving Yards O/U 49.50%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, chiefs vs. dolphins - player props stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. Player prop markets for the NFL game between the Chiefs and Dolphins, scheduled for September 27 at 1:00 PM ET.

Methodology

This overview of Chiefs vs. Dolphins - Player Props reviews the four comparable platforms from a regulatory perspective: which is accessible in your jurisdiction, where KYC kicks in, how the platform is classified by your country of residence. Live probability is the Polymarket mid; comparison columns show regulatory status, KYC thresholds and settlement options for each platform.

Resolution & payout

On Polymarket, resolution runs on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. USDC payout is instant and automatic, with no KYC. Tax treatment depends on your jurisdiction — in the US, gains are usually ordinary income; in the UK, often capital gains. Consult a tax professional for your situation.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

How are winnings taxed?
Tax treatment varies by jurisdiction. In most countries, prediction market gains are treated as ordinary income or capital gains. We cannot provide tax advice — consult a tax professional for your specific situation.
Is Polymarket regulated by the UKGC?
No. Polymarket is not licensed by the UK Gambling Commission (UKGC). It is a decentralised prediction market operated under US regulation. UK traders can use it but do not benefit from UKGC dispute resolution or player protection requirements.
What are the HMRC tax rules on Polymarket profits for UK traders?
Polymarket profits are treated as cryptocurrency disposal events by HMRC. Each USDC settlement is a taxable event subject to Capital Gains Tax (CGT). For 2026/27, the CGT rate is 18% (basic rate) or 24% (higher rate). The annual CGT exemption is £3,000. Report via HMRC Self Assessment if your total crypto gains exceed £3,000 or proceeds exceed £50,000.
Does Polymarket KYC apply to UK users?
Yes. Polymarket requires KYC (Know Your Customer) verification for all users, including UK residents. You must provide a government-issued photo ID and a selfie. The process typically takes 5–10 minutes via their ID verification provider.
What is the legal difference between Polymarket and Betfair Exchange for UK traders?
Betfair Exchange is UKGC-licensed, meaning UK consumer protections apply and winnings are typically tax-free. Polymarket is not UKGC-licensed — it operates under decentralised blockchain rules. Profits from Polymarket are subject to HMRC CGT as crypto disposals. Choose based on your regulatory preference and tax situation.
and

Trade Chiefs vs. Dolphins - Player Props on Polymarket Legal UK

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

Open live market →

Related Topics

Sports NFL Prediction Markets