Cavaliers vs. Knicks

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

The event is the NBA playoff game between the Cleveland Cavaliers and the New York Knicks, with the result set by the final score including any overtime. The current 0% YES price reflects that the game has already been played: ESPN reports the Knicks beat the Cavaliers 115-104 on 19 May, after Jalen Brunson’s fourth-quarter comeback forced overtime and New York closed Game 1 with a 22-point rally. In practical market terms, a live or delayed settlement dispute is unlikely unless the listing is being treated as a different fixture, because the underlying match result is already public.

For context, markets on single NBA games tend to move sharply once team news, injury status, or official tip-off confirmation lands, but they are much less ambiguous once a final score is in the record. The wider compliance angle matters here: German users face GlüStV restrictions around unauthorised betting-style products, while the US CFTC has asserted broad reach over derivatives and event contracts that touch US persons. “No-KYC up to $1,500” usually means small withdrawals or activity can be accessed without identity checks up to that limit, which affects how easily a user can enter or exit this specific market, though it does not remove jurisdictional or platform-level restrictions.

The main catalysts to watch are straightforward: any official NBA schedule correction, a postponement notice, or a data-feed dispute over whether the game is treated as completed. ESPN’s match page and the league’s official game log are the most relevant references for settlement, and the listing language here already says postponements keep the market open until completion, while cancellations would resolve 50-50. For traders, the key dependency is not team performance now, but whether the market is tied to the already completed Game 1 or to a separate, still-pending fixture.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

We track Cavaliers vs. Knicks on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?

Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.