Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
3% | 97% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
3% | 97% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| Jesús Luzardo | 3% YES | 97% NO |
| Dylan Cease | 17% YES | 83% NO |
| Hunter Brown | 1% YES | 99% NO |
| Carlos Rodón | 1% YES | 99% NO |
| Yoshinobu Yamamoto | 2% YES | 98% NO |
| Zack Wheeler | 2% YES | 98% NO |
Market context
The market settles on which pitcher leads the 2026 MLB regular season in strikeouts. Right now the race is tight but still early enough that the leader can change quickly: StatMuse shows Jacob Misiorowski on 88 strikeouts, ahead of Dylan Cease on 84, with the gap still small in volume terms. In comparable full-season leader markets, the eventual winner is usually one of the highest-workload starters rather than an elite reliever, because strikeouts accumulate with innings. That helps explain the low 3% crowd-implied YES price: a long regular season leaves room for injuries, rotation changes, and regression, and a handful of durable aces can still overtake an early leader.
The main catalysts are workload, rotation management, and official MLB leader updates. Watch when clubs announce skipped starts, innings limits, or IL placements, as those matter more than single-game strikeout totals over a long season. MLB’s pitching leaderboard and team schedules are the relevant public references; recent reporting from May 19 on Misiorowski’s eight-strikeout outing against the Cubs underlined how quickly the top of the board can move. For access, the market is available on a no-KYC basis up to $1,500, which means smaller positions can be placed without identity checks, but larger activity may trigger verification depending on platform rules. From a regulatory angle, German GlüStV can affect availability and promotion for users in Germany, while US CFTC reach is relevant where event contracts touch US persons or US-facing activity.
Methodology
This page reviews MLB: Strikeouts Leader - Pitcher across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at PolyGram — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?
- Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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