Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| Club Nacional de Football | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Draw (Club Nacional de Football vs. Club Universitario de Deportes) | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Club Universitario de Deportes | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Market context
Nacional’s Copa Libertadores match against Universitario was scheduled for Wednesday, 20 May 2026, in Montevideo, with the market set to settle on kick-off rather than the final score. The crowd’s 0% Yes price means the contract is effectively being read as already dead or unreachable under the event rules, so the practical question for traders is less about football and more about whether the market definition and settlement window match the fixture timing and the reported result. Recent listings around the tie pointed to the game being played at Gran Parque Central on 20 May UTC, which matters because any mismatch in date, venue, or cancellation can change how a binary event resolves.
For regulatory context, German GlüStV rules can affect access to sports prediction-style products for users in Germany, while US CFTC reach is relevant where a platform or participant is deemed to be offering or transacting in a derivatives-like contract into the United States. “No-KYC up to $1,500” means a user may be able to use the market with lighter identity checks until cumulative activity or withdrawals cross that threshold, but it does not remove geoblocking, sanctions screening, or the exchange’s own eligibility controls. For a specific football market such as this, that usually translates into easy entry for small positions, but tighter verification if a trader tries to scale exposure or cash out.
Methodology
This page reviews Club Nacional de Football vs. Club Universitario de Deportes across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at PolyGram — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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