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UFC Fight Night: Kyoji Horiguchi vs. Manel Kape (Flyweight, Main Card)

Five-platform snapshot of "UFC Fight Night: Kyoji Horiguchi vs. Manel Kape (Flyweight, Main Card)" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

0% YES 100% NO Volume: $935K Liquidity: $1.5M Closes: 21 Jun 2026
Trade on Polymarket Legal UK →
UFC Fight Night: Kyoji Horiguchi vs. Manel Kape (Flyweight, Main Card)

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket Legal UK Pick
polygram.ink
0% 100% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open on Polymarket Legal UK →
Polymarket
polymarket.com
0% 100% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open on Polymarket Legal UK →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open on Polymarket Legal UK →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open on Polymarket Legal UK →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open on Polymarket Legal UK →

Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Polymarket Legal UK.

Active sub-markets

Kyoji Horiguchi vs. Manel Kape0% Kyoji Horiguchi100% Manel Kape
Fight to Go the Distance?0% YES100% NO
Fight won by KO/TKO?100% YES0% NO
Horiguchi to win by KO/TKO?0% YES100% NO
Kape to win by KO/TKO?100% YES0% NO
Fight won by submission?0% YES100% NO

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 0% YES probability for UFC Fight Night: Kyoji Horiguchi vs. Manel Kape (Flyweight, Main Card). This market will resolve to "Kyoji Horiguchi" if Kyoji Horiguchi is officially declared the winner of the fight against Manel Kape at UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi, scheduled for June 20, 2026. …

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book signals 0% probability for "UFC Fight Night: Kyoji Horiguchi vs. Manel Kape (Flyweight, Main Card)".

YES 0% NO 100%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $935K.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Legal UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
On Polymarket Legal UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket Legal UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket Legal UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
and

Trade UFC Fight Night: Kyoji Horiguchi vs. Manel Kape (Fly… on Polymarket Legal UK

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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