Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Legal UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
94% | 6% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
94% | 6% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Jordan Love: Passing Yards O/U 224.5 | 94% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Yards O/U 199.5 | 92% |
| Matthew Golden: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 90% |
| Christian Watson: Receiving Yards O/U 59.5 | 89% |
| Christian Watson: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 89% |
| CeeDee Lamb: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 89% |
| Matthew Golden: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 88% |
| Ryan Flournoy: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 87% |
| CeeDee Lamb: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 86% |
| Pierre Strong Jr.: Rushing Yards O/U 9.5 | 86% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Yards O/U 249.5 | 84% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Touchdowns O/U 1.5 | 84% |
| Dak Prescott: Passing Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 83% |
| Christian Watson: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 83% |
| Javonte Williams: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 83% |
| CeeDee Lamb: Receptions O/U 4.5 | 83% |
| Dak Prescott: Passing Yards O/U 199.5 | 82% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Yards O/U 274.5 | 82% |
| Christian Watson: Receiving Yards O/U 69.5 | 81% |
| CeeDee Lamb: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 81% |
| Matthew Golden: Receiving Yards O/U 59.5 | 80% |
| CeeDee Lamb: Receiving Yards O/U 59.5 | 79% |
| Dak Prescott: Passing Attempts O/U 31.5 | 77% |
| Matthew Golden: Receptions O/U 4.5 | 74% |
| CeeDee Lamb: Receptions O/U 5.5 | 74% |
| Dak Prescott: Passing Yards O/U 224.5 | 73% |
| Pierre Strong Jr.: Rushing Yards O/U 14.5 | 73% |
| Ryan Flournoy: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 71% |
| Matthew Golden: Receiving Yards O/U 69.5 | 70% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Completions O/U 21.5 | 70% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Yards O/U 299.5 | 68% |
| Dak Prescott: Passing Completions O/U 23.5 | 66% |
| Christian Watson: Receiving Yards O/U 79.5 | 63% |
| Javonte Williams: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 61% |
| MarShawn Lloyd: Rushing Yards O/U 19.5 | 60% |
| Dak Prescott: Passing Yards O/U 274.5 | 59% |
| Matthew Golden: Receiving Yards O/U 79.5 | 59% |
| CeeDee Lamb: Receptions O/U 6.5 | 59% |
| Ryan Flournoy: Receptions O/U 4.5 | 58% |
| Dak Prescott: Passing Yards O/U 249.5 | 57% |
| Matthew Golden: Anytime Touchdown | 56% |
| Matthew Golden: Team First TD (Green Bay Packers) | 56% |
| Pierre Strong Jr.: Rushing Yards O/U 29.5 | 56% |
| CeeDee Lamb: Receiving Yards O/U 69.5 | 55% |
| CeeDee Lamb: Receiving Yards O/U 79.5 | 55% |
| CeeDee Lamb: Receiving Yards O/U 109.5 | 55% |
| Pierre Strong Jr.: Rushing Yards O/U 19.5 | 55% |
| Javonte Williams: Rushing Yards O/U 39.5 | 54% |
| Dak Prescott: Passing Touchdowns O/U 1.5 | 53% |
| Christian Watson: Receiving Yards O/U 89.5 | 53% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 51% |
| Javonte Williams: Rushing Yards O/U 29.5 | 51% |
| Matthew Golden: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 51% |
| Matthew Golden: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 51% |
| Matthew Golden: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 51% |
| Christian Watson: Receptions O/U 4.5 | 51% |
| Matthew Golden: Receptions O/U 5.5 | 51% |
| Christian Watson: Longest Reception O/U 19.5 | 51% |
| Matthew Golden: Longest Reception O/U 24.5 | 51% |
| Javonte Williams: Receptions O/U 0.5 | 51% |
| Ryan Flournoy: Receptions O/U 0.5 | 51% |
| Ryan Flournoy: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 51% |
| Dak Prescott: Passing Yards O/U 174.5 | 50% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Yards O/U 174.5 | 50% |
| Javonte Williams: Rushing Yards O/U 109.5 | 50% |
| Christian Watson: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Christian Watson: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 50% |
| Christian Watson: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 50% |
| George Pickens: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| George Pickens: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 50% |
| George Pickens: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 50% |
| George Pickens: Receiving Yards O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| George Pickens: Receiving Yards O/U 69.5 | 50% |
| George Pickens: Receiving Yards O/U 79.5 | 50% |
| George Pickens: Receiving Yards O/U 89.5 | 50% |
| George Pickens: Receiving Yards O/U 99.5 | 50% |
| George Pickens: Receiving Yards O/U 109.5 | 50% |
| Jake Ferguson: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Jake Ferguson: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Jake Ferguson: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Jake Ferguson: Receiving Yards O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| Jake Ferguson: Receiving Yards O/U 69.5 | 50% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 50% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 50% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receiving Yards O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receiving Yards O/U 69.5 | 50% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receiving Yards O/U 79.5 | 50% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receiving Yards O/U 89.5 | 50% |
| George Pickens: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| George Pickens: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| George Pickens: Receptions O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| George Pickens: Receptions O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| George Pickens: Receptions O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Matthew Golden: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receptions O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receptions O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receptions O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Christian Watson: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| Dak Prescott: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| George Pickens: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| George Pickens: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| Jake Ferguson: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| Jordan Love: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| Tucker Kraft: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Tucker Kraft: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| George Pickens: Longest Reception O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Tucker Kraft: Longest Reception O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Dak Prescott: Passing Attempts O/U 35.5 | 50% |
| Dak Prescott: Passing Attempts O/U 39.5 | 50% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Attempts O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Attempts O/U 31.5 | 50% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Attempts O/U 35.5 | 50% |
| Dak Prescott: Passing Completions O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Dak Prescott: Passing Completions O/U 25.5 | 50% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Completions O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Completions O/U 25.5 | 50% |
| Christian Watson: Team First TD (Green Bay Packers) | 50% |
| Dak Prescott: Team First TD (Dallas Cowboys) | 50% |
| George Pickens: Team First TD (Dallas Cowboys) | 50% |
| Jake Ferguson: Team First TD (Dallas Cowboys) | 50% |
| Javonte Williams: Team First TD (Dallas Cowboys) | 50% |
| Jordan Love: Team First TD (Green Bay Packers) | 50% |
| MarShawn Lloyd: Team First TD (Green Bay Packers) | 50% |
| Ryan Flournoy: Team First TD (Dallas Cowboys) | 50% |
| Tucker Kraft: Team First TD (Green Bay Packers) | 50% |
| MarShawn Lloyd: Rushing Yards O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Ryan Flournoy: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Ryan Flournoy: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Ryan Flournoy: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| George Pickens: Receptions O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| George Pickens: Receptions O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Javonte Williams: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Javonte Williams: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Javonte Williams: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Javonte Williams: Receiving Yards O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| CeeDee Lamb: Longest Reception O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| CeeDee Lamb: Team First TD (Dallas Cowboys) | 50% |
| Bo Melton: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Bo Melton: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| Brevyn Spann-Ford: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| J. Michael Sturdivant: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jonathan Mingo: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jonathan Mingo: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| Jonnu Smith: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jonnu Smith: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| Josh Whyle: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Kaleb Johnson: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Kaleb Johnson: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| KaVontae Turpin: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| Mark Redman: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Tyler Goodson: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| Bo Melton: Team First TD (Green Bay Packers) | 50% |
| Brevyn Spann-Ford: Team First TD (Dallas Cowboys) | 50% |
| J. Michael Sturdivant: Team First TD (Green Bay Packers) | 50% |
| Jonathan Mingo: Team First TD (Dallas Cowboys) | 50% |
| Jonnu Smith: Team First TD (Green Bay Packers) | 50% |
| Josh Whyle: Team First TD (Green Bay Packers) | 50% |
| Kaleb Johnson: Team First TD (Green Bay Packers) | 50% |
| KaVontae Turpin: Team First TD (Dallas Cowboys) | 50% |
| Luke Schoonmaker: Team First TD (Dallas Cowboys) | 50% |
| Mark Redman: Team First TD (Green Bay Packers) | 50% |
| Pierre Strong Jr.: Team First TD (Green Bay Packers) | 50% |
| Tyler Goodson: Team First TD (Dallas Cowboys) | 50% |
| Bo Melton: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Bo Melton: Receiving Yards O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Bo Melton: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Bo Melton: Receiving Yards O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Bo Melton: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Bo Melton: Receiving Yards O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| Bo Melton: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 50% |
| Bo Melton: Receptions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Bo Melton: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Bo Melton: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Bo Melton: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Pierre Strong Jr.: Rushing Yards O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Pierre Strong Jr.: Rushing Yards O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Touchdowns O/U 2.5 | 48% |
| Pierre Strong Jr.: Rushing Yards O/U 24.5 | 48% |
| CeeDee Lamb: Receiving Yards O/U 89.5 | 47% |
| Jake Ferguson: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 46% |
| Javonte Williams: Anytime Touchdown | 46% |
| Christian Watson: Receiving Yards O/U 99.5 | 45% |
| Jake Ferguson: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 45% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Yards O/U 324.5 | 43% |
| Matthew Golden: Receiving Yards O/U 89.5 | 43% |
| Ryan Flournoy: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 41% |
| MarShawn Lloyd: Anytime Touchdown | 40% |
| CeeDee Lamb: Receiving Yards O/U 99.5 | 40% |
| Javonte Williams: Receiving Yards O/U 14.5 | 39% |
| Javonte Williams: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 39% |
| Christian Watson: Anytime Touchdown | 38% |
| CeeDee Lamb: Anytime Touchdown | 38% |
| Jake Ferguson: Receiving Yards O/U 24.5 | 37% |
| CeeDee Lamb: Receptions O/U 7.5 | 37% |
| Javonte Williams: Rushing Yards O/U 49.5 | 36% |
| Matthew Golden: Receptions O/U 6.5 | 35% |
| Christian Watson: Receiving Yards O/U 109.5 | 33% |
| Matthew Golden: Receiving Yards O/U 99.5 | 33% |
| MarShawn Lloyd: Rushing Yards O/U 29.5 | 33% |
| CeeDee Lamb: Receptions O/U 8.5 | 32% |
| Pierre Strong Jr.: Anytime Touchdown | 31% |
| Christian Watson: Receptions O/U 5.5 | 29% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Yards O/U 349.5 | 28% |
| Ryan Flournoy: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 28% |
| Pierre Strong Jr.: Rushing Yards O/U 39.5 | 27% |
| Dak Prescott: Passing Yards O/U 299.5 | 26% |
| Jake Ferguson: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 26% |
| Matthew Golden: 2+ Touchdowns | 26% |
| MarShawn Lloyd: Rushing Yards O/U 39.5 | 26% |
| Matthew Golden: Receptions O/U 7.5 | 26% |
| Javonte Williams: Rushing Yards O/U 59.5 | 25% |
| Luke Schoonmaker: Anytime Touchdown | 25% |
| Dak Prescott: Passing Yards O/U 324.5 | 24% |
| Ryan Flournoy: Receiving Yards O/U 59.5 | 24% |
| Javonte Williams: Receiving Yards O/U 24.5 | 24% |
| Javonte Williams: Receptions O/U 4.5 | 24% |
| CeeDee Lamb: Receptions O/U 9.5 | 24% |
| CeeDee Lamb: Receiving Yards O/U 119.5 | 23% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Yards O/U 374.5 | 22% |
| Christian Watson: Receptions O/U 6.5 | 22% |
| MarShawn Lloyd: Rushing Yards O/U 49.5 | 22% |
| Dak Prescott: Passing Touchdowns O/U 2.5 | 21% |
| Jake Ferguson: Receptions O/U 4.5 | 21% |
| Matthew Golden: Receptions O/U 8.5 | 21% |
| Jake Ferguson: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 20% |
| Jake Ferguson: Anytime Touchdown | 20% |
| Jordan Love: Anytime Touchdown | 20% |
| Pierre Strong Jr.: 2+ Touchdowns | 20% |
| Jake Ferguson: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 19% |
| Javonte Williams: 2+ Touchdowns | 19% |
| MarShawn Lloyd: Rushing Yards O/U 79.5 | 19% |
| Javonte Williams: Rushing Yards O/U 69.5 | 18% |
| Javonte Williams: Rushing Yards O/U 79.5 | 18% |
| MarShawn Lloyd: Rushing Yards O/U 69.5 | 18% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Touchdowns O/U 3.5 | 16% |
| Javonte Williams: Rushing Yards O/U 89.5 | 16% |
| Dak Prescott: Anytime Touchdown | 16% |
| Ryan Flournoy: Receiving Yards O/U 69.5 | 16% |
| Dak Prescott: Passing Yards O/U 349.5 | 15% |
| MarShawn Lloyd: Rushing Yards O/U 59.5 | 15% |
| Ryan Flournoy: Anytime Touchdown | 13% |
| Jake Ferguson: Receptions O/U 5.5 | 12% |
| CeeDee Lamb: 2+ Touchdowns | 12% |
| Tyler Goodson: Anytime Touchdown | 12% |
| Dak Prescott: Passing Yards O/U 374.5 | 11% |
| Dak Prescott: Passing Touchdowns O/U 3.5 | 11% |
| Javonte Williams: Rushing Yards O/U 99.5 | 11% |
| MarShawn Lloyd: 2+ Touchdowns | 11% |
| KaVontae Turpin: Anytime Touchdown | 8% |
| Ryan Flournoy: 2+ Touchdowns | 5% |
Market context
Cowboys vs. Packers - Player Props. The market is currently pricing the outcome at 50% YES, meaning crowd-implied probability sits at that level. Settlement is scheduled for 2026-10-19T00:20:00Z. Unlike a sportsbook, the price you see is set by buyers and sellers competing in a live order book — there is no house edge or bookmaker margin to fade.
Sports outcome markets resolve from official league data once the contest finishes. Pricing typically tightens through the warm-up window as line-ups, weather, and starting-pitcher data become public, then moves on goals or runs in real time.
Watch for the underlying catalysts that move this category: each official announcement, dataset release, or scheduled milestone generally produces a step change in the implied probability. Trades execute instantly on Polygon, and shares pay $1 each at resolution if your side wins.
Methodology
This overview of Cowboys vs. Packers - Player Props reviews the four comparable platforms from a regulatory perspective: which is accessible in your jurisdiction, where KYC kicks in, how the platform is classified by your country of residence. Live probability is the Polymarket mid; comparison columns show regulatory status, KYC thresholds and settlement options for each platform.
Resolution & payout
On Polymarket, resolution runs on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. USDC payout is instant and automatic, with no KYC. Tax treatment depends on your jurisdiction — in the US, gains are usually ordinary income; in the UK, often capital gains. Consult a tax professional for your situation.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- Is Polymarket legal in my country?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Actual usage via the Polymarket interface is not possible there. The legal status itself varies — many countries treat prediction markets as a gray area. Polymarket Legal UK has a different geo footprint.
- Is Polymarket regulated by the UKGC?
- No. Polymarket is not licensed by the UK Gambling Commission (UKGC). It is a decentralised prediction market operated under US regulation. UK traders can use it but do not benefit from UKGC dispute resolution or player protection requirements.
- What are the HMRC tax rules on Polymarket profits for UK traders?
- Polymarket profits are treated as cryptocurrency disposal events by HMRC. Each USDC settlement is a taxable event subject to Capital Gains Tax (CGT). For 2026/27, the CGT rate is 18% (basic rate) or 24% (higher rate). The annual CGT exemption is £3,000. Report via HMRC Self Assessment if your total crypto gains exceed £3,000 or proceeds exceed £50,000.
- Does Polymarket KYC apply to UK users?
- Yes. Polymarket requires KYC (Know Your Customer) verification for all users, including UK residents. You must provide a government-issued photo ID and a selfie. The process typically takes 5–10 minutes via their ID verification provider.
- What is the legal difference between Polymarket and Betfair Exchange for UK traders?
- Betfair Exchange is UKGC-licensed, meaning UK consumer protections apply and winnings are typically tax-free. Polymarket is not UKGC-licensed — it operates under decentralised blockchain rules. Profits from Polymarket are subject to HMRC CGT as crypto disposals. Choose based on your regulatory preference and tax situation.
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