Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

On 13 June 2026, the Atlanta Braves will face the New York Mets in an MLB regular-season game scheduled for 4:10 PM Eastern Time. The market resolves to the winning team's name, with a 50–50 split applied only if the fixture is cancelled without a rescheduled make-up game or ends in a tie—an outcome virtually absent from baseball's modern ruleset. Settlement occurs by 20 June 2026, allowing a one-week window for postponements or official result confirmation via MLB's governing records.

Historical precedent shows that crowd-implied probabilities of 100% in sports markets typically reflect either incomplete trader participation or extreme confidence in a heavily favoured outcome. In MLB matchups between division rivals, such certainty is rare; the Braves and Mets have exhibited competitive volatility across recent seasons, with head-to-head records and seasonal performance metrics rarely justifying absolute conviction. Comparable markets on established platforms have occasionally seen 100% probabilities collapse when late roster changes, weather delays, or unexpected performance shifts alter perceived advantage.

Traders should monitor roster announcements and starting pitcher confirmations through early June, as injury reports or bullpen availability can shift win probability substantially. Weather forecasts for Atlanta on 13 June warrant attention, given that precipitation may trigger postponement and extend the settlement window. MLB's official box score and final statistics, published within hours of game conclusion, serve as the binding resolution source; no alternative data feeds or media reports override this standard.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Legal UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket Legal UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What does it cost to trade on Polymarket Legal UK?

Zero. Polymarket Legal UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket Legal UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.