Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket Legal UK Pick polygram.ink |
4% | 96% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Polymarket Legal UK → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
4% | 96% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Polymarket Legal UK → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Polymarket Legal UK → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Polymarket Legal UK → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Polymarket Legal UK → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Polymarket Legal UK.
Active sub-markets
| Germany 0 - 1 Côte d'Ivoire | 4% YES | 96% NO |
| Germany 0 - 2 Côte d'Ivoire | 2% YES | 98% NO |
| Germany 2 - 0 Côte d'Ivoire | 11% YES | 90% NO |
| Germany 1 - 2 Côte d'Ivoire | 5% YES | 95% NO |
| Germany 3 - 0 Côte d'Ivoire | 8% YES | 93% NO |
| Germany 2 - 2 Côte d'Ivoire | 6% YES | 95% NO |
Market context
Germany meet Côte d’Ivoire in a World Cup group-stage match at Toronto Stadium, with FIFA listing the kick-off at 20:00 local time and the market resolving only on the score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. In practice, an “exact score” contract is usually much narrower than a straight winner market: the current crowd-implied 4% for YES is broadly consistent with the large number of possible scorelines and the fact that any one precise outcome is a low-frequency event, even when a team is favoured.[6][1][4]
The closest framing comes from regulated prediction-market and sports-betting rules rather than the football fixture itself. In Germany, event-based trading can sit within the scope of the GlüStV’s restrictions on gambling-style products, which is why accessibility and product design matter as much as the match itself. In the US, the CFTC’s jurisdiction can reach event contracts offered to US persons, so venue, counterparty and product classification are relevant to whether a trader can participate. “No-KYC up to $1,500” means a user can usually access the market with limited identity verification up to that threshold, but it does not remove geographic or regulatory screening and may still exclude users in restricted jurisdictions.
For this market, the main catalysts are operational rather than tactical: the confirmed fixture status, any change to kick-off time, and whether the match is completed within the settlement window. FIFA’s match-centre listing is the cleanest signal for whether the game proceeds as scheduled, while ticketing and broadcast listings can also help confirm venue and timing if there is late administrative drift.[6][3] If the match is postponed, the market stays open until completion; if it is abandoned or materially rescheduled, the exact settlement mechanics will matter more than pre-match form.
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $318K.
Methodology
This page reviews Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire - Exact Score across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Polymarket Legal UK — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Polymarket Legal UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire - Exact Score on Polymarket Legal UK
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