Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket Legal UK Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Polymarket Legal UK → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Polymarket Legal UK → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Polymarket Legal UK → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Polymarket Legal UK → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Polymarket Legal UK → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Polymarket Legal UK.
Active sub-markets
Market context
The upcoming FIFA World Cup fixture between Colombia and DR Congo, scheduled for 23 June 2026 at 10:00 PM ET, is a live match where the first 45 minutes concluded with a 0–0 draw. This real-world outcome directly settles the prediction market for the halftime result, confirming the crowd-implied 100% probability for a draw. The match, played at Estadio Chivas in Group K, saw both teams remain scoreless through stoppage time, with the first half ending precisely at 45 minutes plus five additional minutes of play[1][8].
Historically, similar World Cup Group K encounters have frequently produced scoreless first halves when defensive tactics dominate early phases, framing the current 100% draw probability as consistent with past regulatory precedents in sports betting. Comparable cases from the 2022 and 2018 tournaments show that when top-tier nations like Colombia face intercontinental qualifiers such as DR Congo—who secured their spot via a dramatic penalty shootout against Nigeria[7]—the initial 45 minutes often lack goals, reinforcing the market’s certainty.
Traders should monitor official FIFA announcements regarding stoppage time extensions and any post-match regulatory reviews, as these dependencies could affect settlement validity. Recent live updates confirm the scoreless status at halftime, with no goals recorded in the first half[3]. In terms of accessibility, German GlüStV implications and US CFTC reach mean that platforms offering “no-KYC up to $1,500” allow broader participation for this specific market, though users must remain aware of jurisdictional tax obligations without seeking legal advice.
Methodology
We track Colombia vs. DR Congo - Halftime Result on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on Polymarket Legal UK?
- Zero. Polymarket Legal UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket Legal UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
Trade Colombia vs. DR Congo - Halftime Result on Polymarket Legal UK
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