Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket Legal UK Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Polymarket Legal UK → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Polymarket Legal UK → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Polymarket Legal UK → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Polymarket Legal UK → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Polymarket Legal UK → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Polymarket Legal UK.
Active sub-markets
| Colombia (-1.5) | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Costa Rica (-1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Colombia (-2.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Costa Rica (-2.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 0.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Market context
Colombia and Costa Rica are scheduled to play a FIFA International Friendly on 1 June at 7:00 PM ET. The market settlement hinges on whether additional betting markets for this fixture will be offered by the resolution authority before the 1 June 23:00 UTC deadline. The 100% implied probability reflects near-certainty that supplementary markets—such as correct score, player performance, or half-time/full-time outcomes—will materialise for a CONMEBOL versus CONCACAF matchup of this profile.
Historical precedent suggests friendlies between confederation representatives of comparable stature consistently generate secondary market offerings. The Copa América and Gold Cup preparation cycles typically trigger expanded market depth in the weeks preceding fixtures. Comparable June friendlies in prior years (2022–2024) saw multiple derivative markets launch within 48 hours of fixture confirmation. The current probability reflects this established pattern rather than exceptional confidence in this specific pairing.
Regulatory accessibility varies by jurisdiction. Under German GlüStV provisions, prediction markets on sports outcomes face licensing requirements that affect market availability in that territory. US CFTC reach extends to derivatives on sports events, though prediction markets structured as binary outcomes occupy a grey zone depending on settlement mechanics. For traders in no-KYC jurisdictions permitting positions up to $1,500 without identity verification, this market's accessibility depends on the resolution platform's regulatory classification and domicile. Confirmation of team lineups and official fixture scheduling typically occurs 7–10 days before kick-off; any postponement or cancellation would directly impact whether secondary markets launch.
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $380K.
Methodology
This page reviews Colombia vs. Costa Rica - More Markets across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Polymarket Legal UK — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket Legal UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on Polymarket Legal UK?
- Zero. Polymarket Legal UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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