Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Legal UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| Spread -2.5 | 88% |
| Spread -3.5 | 80% |
| Spread -4.5 | 74% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 71% |
| Spread -1.5 | 68% |
| O/U 34.5 | 67% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 66% |
| Washington State O/U 9.5 | 63% |
| Spread -6.5 | 62% |
| Spread -7.5 | 62% |
| Spread -11.5 | 60% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 59% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 59% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 58% |
| Spread -13.5 | 56% |
| Spread -5.5 | 55% |
| Spread -14.5 | 55% |
| Spread -16.5 | 54% |
| Spread -10.5 | 54% |
| Spread -24.5 | 53% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 53% |
| Spread -26.5 | 52% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 51% |
| Spread -18.5 | 50% |
| Washington State O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Washington State O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Washington State O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Washington State O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Kansas State O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Kansas State O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Kansas State O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Kansas State O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Spread -19.5 | 50% |
| Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| Spread -31.5 | 50% |
| Spread -34.5 | 50% |
| O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| O/U 36.5 | 50% |
| O/U 38.5 | 50% |
| O/U 42.5 | 50% |
| O/U 44.5 | 50% |
| O/U 56.5 | 50% |
| O/U 60.5 | 50% |
| O/U 62.5 | 50% |
| O/U 66.5 | 50% |
| O/U 68.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -11.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -12.5 | 50% |
| 1H Moneyline | 50% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Kansas State O/U 28.5 | 50% |
| Kansas State O/U 31.5 | 50% |
| Kansas State O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| Kansas State O/U 40.5 | 50% |
| Washington State O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Washington State O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Washington State O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Washington State O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Washington State 1H O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Washington State 1H O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Washington State 1H O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Washington State O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Kansas State O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| Kansas State 1H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Kansas State 1H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Kansas State 1H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Washington State 1H O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Washington State 1H O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Washington State 1H O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Kansas State 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Kansas State 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Kansas State 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Washington State 2H O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Washington State 2H O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Washington State 2H O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Avery Johnson: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Rodney Fields Jr.: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Joe Jackson: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Garrett Oakley: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Kirby Vorhees: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Joshua Manning: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Caden Pinnick: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jaron Tibbs: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jay Harris: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Tony Freeman: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Brandon White: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Leo Pulalasi: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Will Anciaux: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Tank Hawkins: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Daniel Blood: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Darrius Clemons: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jordan Dees: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Derrick Salley Jr.: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Maxwell Woods: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Adonis Moise: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jay Porter: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Kansas State O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| Kansas State O/U 36.5 | 50% |
| Kansas State O/U 39.5 | 50% |
| Washington State 2H O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Washington State 2H O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Washington State 2H O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| Washington State O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Washington State O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Washington State O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| Washington State O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Kansas State O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Kansas State O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Kansas State O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| Kansas State O/U 35.5 | 50% |
| Kansas State O/U 38.5 | 50% |
| Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| Spread -12.5 | 50% |
| Spread -15.5 | 50% |
| Spread -22.5 | 50% |
| Spread -25.5 | 50% |
| Spread -28.5 | 50% |
| Spread -32.5 | 50% |
| Spread -38.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 25.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 28.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 31.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -11.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| Linkon Cure: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 49% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 49% |
| O/U 48.5 | 48% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 48% |
| Kansas State O/U 30.5 | 46% |
| O/U 64.5 | 45% |
| Kansas State O/U 27.5 | 45% |
| Kansas State O/U 37.5 | 44% |
| Spread -17.5 | 43% |
| 3Q O/U 12.5 | 42% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 41% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 41% |
| Spread -20.5 | 39% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 39% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 39% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 39% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 38% |
| O/U 40.5 | 37% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 36% |
| Spread -27.5 | 34% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 33% |
| Spread -23.5 | 27% |
| Spread -35.5 | 26% |
| O/U 49.5 | 18% |
| O/U 46.5 | 18% |
| Washington State O/U 20.5 | 17% |
| O/U 50.5 | 16% |
| 1H O/U 19.5 | 16% |
| O/U 52.5 | 14% |
| O/U 51.5 | 14% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 10% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 10% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 10% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 10% |
| 1Q O/U 3.5 | 10% |
| 1Q O/U 6.5 | 10% |
| 1Q O/U 12.5 | 10% |
| 1Q O/U 15.5 | 10% |
| O/U 54.5 | 9% |
| Washington State vs. Kansas State | 6% |
| O/U 58.5 | 6% |
| Spread -2.5 | 6% |
| O/U 70.5 | 3% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 9.5 | 0% |
Market context
The Washington State vs. Kansas State prediction market currently prices this outcome at 100% YES. In the upcoming college football game between Washington State and Kansas State, scheduled for September 12 at 12:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Washington State" if Washington State win the ga…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $128K.
Methodology
This overview of Washington State vs. Kansas State reviews the four comparable platforms from a regulatory perspective: which is accessible in your jurisdiction, where KYC kicks in, how the platform is classified by your country of residence. Live probability is the Polymarket mid; comparison columns show regulatory status, KYC thresholds and settlement options for each platform.
Resolution & payout
On Polymarket, resolution runs on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. USDC payout is instant and automatic, with no KYC. Tax treatment depends on your jurisdiction — in the US, gains are usually ordinary income; in the UK, often capital gains. Consult a tax professional for your situation.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- Is Polymarket legal in my country?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Actual usage via the Polymarket interface is not possible there. The legal status itself varies — many countries treat prediction markets as a gray area. Polymarket Legal UK has a different geo footprint.
- Is Polymarket regulated by the UKGC?
- No. Polymarket is not licensed by the UK Gambling Commission (UKGC). It is a decentralised prediction market operated under US regulation. UK traders can use it but do not benefit from UKGC dispute resolution or player protection requirements.
- What are the HMRC tax rules on Polymarket profits for UK traders?
- Polymarket profits are treated as cryptocurrency disposal events by HMRC. Each USDC settlement is a taxable event subject to Capital Gains Tax (CGT). For 2026/27, the CGT rate is 18% (basic rate) or 24% (higher rate). The annual CGT exemption is £3,000. Report via HMRC Self Assessment if your total crypto gains exceed £3,000 or proceeds exceed £50,000.
- Does Polymarket KYC apply to UK users?
- Yes. Polymarket requires KYC (Know Your Customer) verification for all users, including UK residents. You must provide a government-issued photo ID and a selfie. The process typically takes 5–10 minutes via their ID verification provider.
- What is the legal difference between Polymarket and Betfair Exchange for UK traders?
- Betfair Exchange is UKGC-licensed, meaning UK consumer protections apply and winnings are typically tax-free. Polymarket is not UKGC-licensed — it operates under decentralised blockchain rules. Profits from Polymarket are subject to HMRC CGT as crypto disposals. Choose based on your regulatory preference and tax situation.
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