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Liberty vs. James Madison

"Liberty vs. James Madison" — odds, fees, regulatory status. Polymarket Legal UK as a Polymarket alternative.

1H Spread -1.5 100% 1H Spread -2.5 100% 1H Spread -3.5 100% 1H Spread -4.5 100% Volume: $263K Liquidity: $63K Closes: 5 Sept 2026
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Liberty vs. James Madison

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Legal UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
1H Spread -1.5100%
1H Spread -2.5100%
1H Spread -3.5100%
1H Spread -4.5100%
1H Spread -5.5100%
1Q Spread -0.5100%
1Q Spread -1.5100%
1Q Spread -2.5100%
1Q Spread -3.5100%
2Q Spread -0.5100%
2Q Spread -1.5100%
2Q Spread -2.5100%
2Q Spread -3.5100%
3Q Spread -0.5100%
3Q Spread -1.5100%
3Q Spread -2.5100%
James Madison 1H O/U 12.5100%
James Madison 1H O/U 14.5100%
James Madison 1H O/U 16.5100%
O/U 31.591%
Spread -4.574%
Spread -3.568%
Spread: James Madison (-6.5)67%
Spread -1.556%
Spread -2.555%
James Madison O/U 3.551%
Spread -0.550%
Spread -8.550%
Spread -31.550%
O/U 33.550%
O/U 37.550%
O/U 39.550%
O/U 43.550%
O/U 45.550%
O/U 49.550%
O/U 57.550%
O/U 61.550%
O/U 63.550%
O/U 67.550%
O/U 69.550%
2H Moneyline50%
4Q Spread -0.550%
4Q Spread -1.550%
4Q Spread -2.550%
4Q Spread -3.550%
4Q Moneyline50%
James Madison O/U 22.550%
James Madison O/U 25.550%
James Madison O/U 31.550%
2H Spread -0.550%
2H Spread -1.550%
2H Spread -2.550%
2H Spread -3.550%
2H Spread -4.550%
Liberty O/U 15.550%
Liberty O/U 18.550%
Liberty O/U 24.550%
Liberty 2H O/U 8.550%
Liberty 2H O/U 10.550%
Liberty 2H O/U 12.550%
James Madison 2H O/U 11.550%
James Madison 2H O/U 13.550%
James Madison 2H O/U 15.550%
James Madison O/U 21.550%
James Madison O/U 24.550%
James Madison O/U 33.550%
Liberty O/U 22.550%
Liberty O/U 25.550%
Liberty O/U 28.550%
Liberty O/U 2.550%
George Pettaway: Anytime Touchdown50%
Seth Cromwell: Anytime Touchdown50%
Nick Herman: Anytime Touchdown50%
Kanye Udoh: Anytime Touchdown50%
Camden Coleman: Anytime Touchdown50%
Deshawn Purdie: Anytime Touchdown50%
Kam Davis: Anytime Touchdown50%
Peyton Jones: Anytime Touchdown50%
Jeremiah Harrison: Anytime Touchdown50%
Corey Scott: Anytime Touchdown50%
Jamari Person: Anytime Touchdown50%
Rashawn Cunningham: Anytime Touchdown50%
Makai Jackson: Anytime Touchdown50%
Cole Keller: Anytime Touchdown50%
Jaylon Coleman: Anytime Touchdown50%
Michael Scott: Anytime Touchdown50%
Braeden Wisloski: Anytime Touchdown50%
Jon Monteiro: Anytime Touchdown50%
Lee Johnson: Anytime Touchdown50%
Za'Ron Collins: Anytime Touchdown50%
Spread -34.549%
Spread -5.545%
O/U 35.544%
Liberty O/U 16.538%
James Madison O/U 28.536%
James Madison O/U 30.535%
Liberty O/U 19.535%
O/U 41.531%
Liberty O/U 21.529%
Spread -7.525%
Spread -10.525%
O/U 47.524%
O/U 51.518%
O/U 50.518%
Liberty O/U 27.518%
Spread -13.517%
James Madison O/U 34.517%
James Madison O/U 27.517%
Spread -20.516%
O/U 55.515%
O/U 53.514%
Liberty vs. James Madison13%
O/U 59.513%
Spread -21.511%
Spread -17.510%
Spread -16.59%
O/U 52.58%
Spread -14.58%
O/U 65.56%
O/U 71.56%
Spread -27.55%
Spread -24.53%
1H Moneyline0%
1Q Moneyline0%
2Q Spread -4.50%
2Q Moneyline0%
3Q Spread -3.50%
3Q Moneyline0%
Liberty 1H O/U 8.50%
Liberty 1H O/U 10.50%
Liberty 1H O/U 12.50%

Market context

Liberty vs. James Madison — current market-implied probability: 100%. In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for September 5 at 12:00PM ET: If Liberty wins, the market will resolve to "Liberty". If James Madison wins, the market will resolve to "James Madison"…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices 1H Spread -1.5 at 100% for "Liberty vs. James Madison".

1H Spread -1.5 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $263K.

Methodology

This overview of Liberty vs. James Madison reviews the four comparable platforms from a regulatory perspective: which is accessible in your jurisdiction, where KYC kicks in, how the platform is classified by your country of residence. Live probability is the Polymarket mid; comparison columns show regulatory status, KYC thresholds and settlement options for each platform.

Resolution & payout

On Polymarket, resolution runs on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. USDC payout is instant and automatic, with no KYC. Tax treatment depends on your jurisdiction — in the US, gains are usually ordinary income; in the UK, often capital gains. Consult a tax professional for your situation.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

How are winnings taxed?
Tax treatment varies by jurisdiction. In most countries, prediction market gains are treated as ordinary income or capital gains. We cannot provide tax advice — consult a tax professional for your specific situation.
Is Polymarket regulated by the UKGC?
No. Polymarket is not licensed by the UK Gambling Commission (UKGC). It is a decentralised prediction market operated under US regulation. UK traders can use it but do not benefit from UKGC dispute resolution or player protection requirements.
What are the HMRC tax rules on Polymarket profits for UK traders?
Polymarket profits are treated as cryptocurrency disposal events by HMRC. Each USDC settlement is a taxable event subject to Capital Gains Tax (CGT). For 2026/27, the CGT rate is 18% (basic rate) or 24% (higher rate). The annual CGT exemption is £3,000. Report via HMRC Self Assessment if your total crypto gains exceed £3,000 or proceeds exceed £50,000.
Does Polymarket KYC apply to UK users?
Yes. Polymarket requires KYC (Know Your Customer) verification for all users, including UK residents. You must provide a government-issued photo ID and a selfie. The process typically takes 5–10 minutes via their ID verification provider.
What is the legal difference between Polymarket and Betfair Exchange for UK traders?
Betfair Exchange is UKGC-licensed, meaning UK consumer protections apply and winnings are typically tax-free. Polymarket is not UKGC-licensed — it operates under decentralised blockchain rules. Profits from Polymarket are subject to HMRC CGT as crypto disposals. Choose based on your regulatory preference and tax situation.
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