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F1: Action of the Year

Five-platform snapshot of "F1: Action of the Year" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

4% YES 96% NO Volume: $158K Liquidity: $20K Closes: 13 Dec 2026
Trade on PolyGram →

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
PolyGram Pick
polygram.ink
4% 96% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open on PolyGram →
Polymarket
polymarket.com
4% 96% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open on PolyGram →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open on PolyGram →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open on PolyGram →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open on PolyGram →

Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.

Active sub-markets

Alexander Albon4% YES96% NO
Fernando Alonso8% YES92% NO
Kimi Antonelli41% YES60% NO
Gabriel Bortoleto8% YES92% NO
Arvid Lindblad8% YES92% NO
George Russell2% YES98% NO

Market context

The award will go to the driver judged to have produced the standout “Action of the Year” moment in the 2026 Formula 1 season, as ultimately confirmed at the FIA Awards. With the market at 4%, it is pricing a niche novelty outcome rather than a form guide: these awards tend to reward a single clip, overtake or recovery drive that lands with the FIA and the voting panel, not season-long points or championship position. The market also has a hard cut-off, since no winner declared by the settlement deadline, or any season disruption pushing resolution beyond that window, resolves to Other.

Recent F1 award-style markets are often driven by one-off narratives rather than repeated performance, which makes current prices sensitive to standout incidents later in the year. The Polymarket book currently shows Kimi Antonelli and Franco Colapinto among the leading names, indicating traders are already attaching value to younger, highlight-friendly drivers who may generate repeated social and broadcast attention. That reading is consistent with how prediction markets have behaved in motorsport more broadly: the price can move quickly after a single race weekend, but the eventual award still depends on what FIA voters actually elevate at season end, not on cumulative pace.

Accessibility is also shaped by regulation and on-boarding. Polymarket’s no-KYC threshold of up to $1,500 means smaller positions can usually be entered without full identity checks, which lowers friction for casual participation but does not remove platform limits or local law constraints. In Germany, GlüStV rules can affect whether online gambling-style participation is treated as authorised, while in the US the CFTC still has reach over event-contract style products and enforcement risk remains relevant. In practice, the main catalysts are FIA award timelines, late-season highlight moments, and whether the 2026 calendar runs to completion on time; Motorsport.com recently reported that the FIA sees the internal combustion engine as an early 2026 differentiator, underlining how technical shifts may also shape which drivers produce the year’s most memorable action.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?
Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

Trade F1: Action of the Year on PolyGram

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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