Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| O/U 0.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Tottenham Hotspur FC (-1.5) | 23% YES | 78% NO |
| Everton FC (-1.5) | 1% YES | 100% NO |
| Tottenham Hotspur FC (-2.5) | 4% YES | 97% NO |
| Everton FC (-2.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 1.5 | 41% YES | 60% NO |
Market context
Tottenham Hotspur and Everton are scheduled to meet on 24 May 2026 in a Premier League fixture, with kick-off at 11:00 AM ET. The 100% crowd-implied probability suggests near-certainty that additional markets will be offered for this match, though the specific nature of those markets—whether goal-scorer props, corner counts, or card markets—remains unspecified in the settlement criteria.
Historical precedent indicates that Premier League fixtures of this magnitude consistently generate multiple derivative markets across major prediction platforms. The May scheduling places this match late in the season, potentially with implications for European qualification or relegation battles depending on both clubs' final-day positioning. Similar end-of-season fixtures have reliably spawned five to twelve distinct secondary markets within 48 hours of the primary match market opening, establishing a baseline for evaluating the current probability assessment.
Regulatory accessibility varies by jurisdiction for this market. Under German GlüStV provisions, prediction markets on sporting events face stricter licensing requirements than financial derivatives, potentially limiting market availability to German traders depending on the platform's licensing status. US CFTC reach extends to binary sports prediction markets offered to US persons, though enforcement remains selective. The no-KYC threshold up to $1,500 USD applies to certain jurisdictions and platforms; traders should verify their own location's requirements, as UK-domiciled platforms typically operate under Gambling Commission oversight rather than KYC exemptions. Settlement timing on 24 May at 15:00 UTC aligns with standard post-match market closure windows, allowing approximately four hours for match completion and official confirmation.
Methodology
Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). The odds column is filled only where we have clean data — that avoids the made-up numbers that get a network demoted when search engines cross-check against the source venue.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
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