Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| Zhejiang Zhiye FC | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Draw (Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Liaoning Tieren FC) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Liaoning Tieren FC | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Market context
On 24 May 2026, Zhejiang Zhiye FC will face Liaoning Tieren FC in a Chinese Super League fixture. The match is scheduled for Sunday afternoon in China's domestic top division, where both clubs compete in a 18-team league format. Settlement occurs at 11:35 UTC on the same date, approximately 3–4 hours after typical kick-off time, allowing for final result confirmation.
The zero probability currently reflected suggests minimal market liquidity or a technical pricing anomaly rather than genuine consensus that the event will not occur. Chinese Super League matches have historically settled without cancellation; weather disruptions or administrative postponements remain rare but documented in the league's records. Comparable fixtures between mid-table and lower-ranked clubs in prior seasons have shown standard settlement patterns, with no systematic barriers to match completion. The absence of recent fixture cancellations in the 2025–26 season supports baseline assumptions about operational continuity.
Traders should monitor official CSL scheduling announcements and club statements through May, particularly regarding squad availability or venue changes. The German GlüStV framework treats prediction markets on established sporting events as permissible under certain conditions, whilst US CFTC oversight applies to binary derivatives on sports outcomes traded by US persons. Markets under $1,500 notional value typically fall outside formal KYC requirements on many platforms, though this threshold varies by jurisdiction and operator. UK-domiciled traders should verify their platform's specific regulatory classification before participation, as CSL fixtures fall within established sports betting frameworks across most European regulators.
Methodology
This page reviews Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Liaoning Tieren FC across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at PolyGram — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Liaoning Tieren FC on PolyGram
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