Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Legal UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
90% | 10% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
90% | 10% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 38.5 | 90% |
| O/U 40.5 | 88% |
| O/U 42.5 | 86% |
| O/U 46.5 | 82% |
| Spread -1.5 | 80% |
| O/U 44.5 | 80% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 76% |
| Spread -3.5 | 75% |
| O/U 48.5 | 73% |
| 1H O/U 23.5 | 72% |
| Spread -4.5 | 71% |
| Wake Forest O/U 16.5 | 71% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 70% |
| Spread -5.5 | 69% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 68% |
| Spread -6.5 | 67% |
| O/U 50.5 | 67% |
| Spread -7.5 | 62% |
| O/U 52.5 | 62% |
| Wake Forest O/U 19.5 | 61% |
| Spread -8.5 | 59% |
| Spread -9.5 | 59% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 59% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 59% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 58% |
| O/U 54.5 | 57% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 55% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 55% |
| Spread -10.5 | 54% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 54% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 53% |
| Spread -11.5 | 52% |
| Spread -12.5 | 52% |
| O/U 56.5 | 52% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 52% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 52% |
| 2H O/U 23.5 | 51% |
| 1H Spread -11.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 35.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 35.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Wake Forest O/U 25.5 | 50% |
| Wake Forest O/U 28.5 | 50% |
| Louisville O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Louisville O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| Louisville O/U 38.5 | 50% |
| Wake Forest 1H O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Wake Forest 1H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Louisville 1H O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| Louisville 1H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| Louisville 1H O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| Wake Forest 2H O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Wake Forest 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Wake Forest 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Louisville 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Louisville 2H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Louisville 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Louisville O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Wake Forest O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 50% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| Wake Forest vs. Louisville: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Wake Forest vs. Louisville: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Wake Forest vs. Louisville: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Wake Forest Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Wake Forest Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Wake Forest Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Louisville Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Louisville Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Louisville Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Wake Forest Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Wake Forest Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Wake Forest Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Louisville Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Louisville Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Louisville Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Wake Forest Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Wake Forest Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Wake Forest Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Louisville Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Louisville Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Wake Forest Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Wake Forest Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Louisville Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Wake Forest Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Louisville Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Louisville Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Louisville Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Wake Forest 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Louisville 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Wake Forest 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Wake Forest Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Louisville 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Wake Forest Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Wake Forest Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Louisville Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Louisville Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Louisville Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Wake Forest Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Wake Forest Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Louisville Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Wake Forest Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Louisville Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Louisville Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Wake Forest Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Wake Forest Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Louisville Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Wake Forest Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Louisville Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Louisville Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Wake Forest vs. Louisville: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Wake Forest vs. Louisville: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Wake Forest vs. Louisville: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 29.5 | 49% |
| Wake Forest O/U 22.5 | 49% |
| Spread -13.5 | 48% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 48% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 48% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 47% |
| Louisville O/U 35.5 | 47% |
| O/U 58.5 | 46% |
| 2H O/U 29.5 | 46% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 46% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 46% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 45% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 45% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 43% |
| Wake Forest 1H O/U 10.5 | 43% |
| Spread -14.5 | 42% |
| Spread -15.5 | 42% |
| Spread -16.5 | 42% |
| O/U 60.5 | 41% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 39% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 39% |
| Spread -17.5 | 38% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 38% |
| O/U 62.5 | 36% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 36% |
| Spread -18.5 | 35% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 35% |
| 4Q O/U 20.5 | 35% |
| Spread -19.5 | 34% |
| O/U 64.5 | 33% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 33% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 32% |
| Spread -20.5 | 31% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 30% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 30% |
| O/U 66.5 | 28% |
| Louisville O/U 41.5 | 28% |
| O/U 68.5 | 25% |
| 1H Moneyline | 25% |
| Spread -22.5 | 23% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 22% |
| 3Q O/U 19.5 | 22% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 21% |
| 1Q O/U 19.5 | 20% |
| Wake Forest vs. Louisville | 19% |
| Spread -28.5 | 19% |
| O/U 70.5 | 18% |
| Spread -2.5 | 16% |
| Spread -1.5 | 16% |
| O/U 72.5 | 16% |
| Spread -25.5 | 15% |
| Spread -26.5 | 14% |
| O/U 74.5 | 14% |
| Spread -4.5 | 11% |
| Spread -29.5 | 11% |
| O/U 76.5 | 11% |
| Spread -5.5 | 10% |
| O/U 78.5 | 9% |
| Spread -8.5 | 8% |
| Spread -32.5 | 8% |
Market context
The Wake Forest vs. Louisville prediction market currently prices this outcome at 90% YES. In the upcoming college football game between Wake Forest and Louisville, scheduled for September 26 at 12:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Wake Forest" if Wake Forest win the game. This market w…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $98K.
Methodology
This overview of Wake Forest vs. Louisville reviews the four comparable platforms from a regulatory perspective: which is accessible in your jurisdiction, where KYC kicks in, how the platform is classified by your country of residence. Live probability is the Polymarket mid; comparison columns show regulatory status, KYC thresholds and settlement options for each platform.
Resolution & payout
On Polymarket, resolution runs on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. USDC payout is instant and automatic, with no KYC. Tax treatment depends on your jurisdiction — in the US, gains are usually ordinary income; in the UK, often capital gains. Consult a tax professional for your situation.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- How are winnings taxed?
- Tax treatment varies by jurisdiction. In most countries, prediction market gains are treated as ordinary income or capital gains. We cannot provide tax advice — consult a tax professional for your specific situation.
- Is Polymarket regulated by the UKGC?
- No. Polymarket is not licensed by the UK Gambling Commission (UKGC). It is a decentralised prediction market operated under US regulation. UK traders can use it but do not benefit from UKGC dispute resolution or player protection requirements.
- What are the HMRC tax rules on Polymarket profits for UK traders?
- Polymarket profits are treated as cryptocurrency disposal events by HMRC. Each USDC settlement is a taxable event subject to Capital Gains Tax (CGT). For 2026/27, the CGT rate is 18% (basic rate) or 24% (higher rate). The annual CGT exemption is £3,000. Report via HMRC Self Assessment if your total crypto gains exceed £3,000 or proceeds exceed £50,000.
- Does Polymarket KYC apply to UK users?
- Yes. Polymarket requires KYC (Know Your Customer) verification for all users, including UK residents. You must provide a government-issued photo ID and a selfie. The process typically takes 5–10 minutes via their ID verification provider.
- What is the legal difference between Polymarket and Betfair Exchange for UK traders?
- Betfair Exchange is UKGC-licensed, meaning UK consumer protections apply and winnings are typically tax-free. Polymarket is not UKGC-licensed — it operates under decentralised blockchain rules. Profits from Polymarket are subject to HMRC CGT as crypto disposals. Choose based on your regulatory preference and tax situation.
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