Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Legal UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
72% | 28% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
72% | 28% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Spread -0.5 | 72% |
| Spread -1.5 | 72% |
| Spread -2.5 | 70% |
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 68% |
| O/U 35.5 | 67% |
| Spread -3.5 | 63% |
| O/U 37.5 | 63% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 62% |
| Spread -4.5 | 61% |
| Spread -5.5 | 59% |
| O/U 39.5 | 59% |
| Spread -6.5 | 56% |
| Wyoming O/U 23.5 | 56% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 53% |
| O/U 41.5 | 52% |
| Wyoming 1H O/U 12.5 | 52% |
| Spread -8.5 | 51% |
| Wyoming O/U 2.5 | 51% |
| Northern Illinois O/U 1.5 | 51% |
| Wyoming O/U 3.5 | 51% |
| Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| O/U 71.5 | 50% |
| O/U 73.5 | 50% |
| O/U 75.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Northern Illinois O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Northern Illinois O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Northern Illinois O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| Wyoming O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Wyoming O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Wyoming O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| Wyoming O/U 35.5 | 50% |
| Northern Illinois 1H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Northern Illinois 1H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Northern Illinois 1H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Wyoming 1H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Wyoming 1H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Northern Illinois 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Northern Illinois 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Northern Illinois 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Wyoming 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Wyoming 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Wyoming 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 50% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| Northern Illinois vs. Wyoming: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| Northern Illinois vs. Wyoming: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Northern Illinois Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Northern Illinois vs. Wyoming: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Northern Illinois Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Northern Illinois Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Wyoming Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Wyoming Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Wyoming Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Northern Illinois Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Northern Illinois Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Northern Illinois Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Wyoming Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Wyoming Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Northern Illinois Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Wyoming Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Northern Illinois Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Northern Illinois Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Wyoming Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Wyoming Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Wyoming Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Northern Illinois Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Northern Illinois Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Northern Illinois Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Wyoming Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Wyoming Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Wyoming Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Northern Illinois 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Northern Illinois 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Wyoming 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Wyoming 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Northern Illinois Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Northern Illinois Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Northern Illinois Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Wyoming Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Wyoming Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Northern Illinois Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Wyoming Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Northern Illinois Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Northern Illinois Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Wyoming Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Wyoming Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Wyoming Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Northern Illinois Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Northern Illinois Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Northern Illinois Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Wyoming Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Wyoming Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Northern Illinois vs. Wyoming: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Wyoming Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Northern Illinois vs. Wyoming: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Northern Illinois vs. Wyoming: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| O/U 43.5 | 48% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 48% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 48% |
| Spread -7.5 | 47% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 47% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 47% |
| Spread -8.5 | 46% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 44% |
| Spread -10.5 | 41% |
| O/U 45.5 | 40% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 40% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 37% |
| Spread -13.5 | 35% |
| O/U 47.5 | 35% |
| Northern Illinois O/U 20.5 | 35% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 35% |
| Spread -14.5 | 32% |
| O/U 49.5 | 31% |
| 1H Moneyline | 31% |
| Northern Illinois vs. Wyoming | 28% |
| Spread -0.5 | 28% |
| Spread -16.5 | 28% |
| Spread -17.5 | 26% |
| O/U 51.5 | 26% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 26% |
| Northern Illinois O/U 23.5 | 26% |
| Spread -1.5 | 25% |
| Spread -2.5 | 23% |
| O/U 53.5 | 21% |
| Spread -20.5 | 20% |
| Spread -3.5 | 19% |
| O/U 55.5 | 18% |
| Spread -5.5 | 17% |
| Spread -4.5 | 17% |
| O/U 57.5 | 15% |
| Spread -6.5 | 14% |
| O/U 59.5 | 13% |
| O/U 69.5 | 12% |
| Spread -7.5 | 11% |
| O/U 65.5 | 11% |
| O/U 67.5 | 11% |
| O/U 61.5 | 10% |
| Spread -10.5 | 7% |
| O/U 63.5 | 7% |
| Spread -13.5 | 5% |
| Spread -14.5 | 4% |
Market context
Market consensus: 72% chance of northern illinois vs. wyoming. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. In the upcoming college football game between Northern Illinois and Wyoming, scheduled for October 17 at 3:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "Northern Illinois" if Northern Illi…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $155K.
Methodology
This overview of Northern Illinois vs. Wyoming reviews the four comparable platforms from a regulatory perspective: which is accessible in your jurisdiction, where KYC kicks in, how the platform is classified by your country of residence. Live probability is the Polymarket mid; comparison columns show regulatory status, KYC thresholds and settlement options for each platform.
Resolution & payout
On Polymarket, resolution runs on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. USDC payout is instant and automatic, with no KYC. Tax treatment depends on your jurisdiction — in the US, gains are usually ordinary income; in the UK, often capital gains. Consult a tax professional for your situation.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- Do I need to KYC for Polymarket Legal UK?
- Not for lifetime trading volume under $1,500. Above that threshold, a quick KYC flow kicks in — ID, selfie, approximately 5-10 minutes. The threshold matches FATF travel standards for unregulated crypto platforms.
- Is Polymarket regulated by the UKGC?
- No. Polymarket is not licensed by the UK Gambling Commission (UKGC). It is a decentralised prediction market operated under US regulation. UK traders can use it but do not benefit from UKGC dispute resolution or player protection requirements.
- What are the HMRC tax rules on Polymarket profits for UK traders?
- Polymarket profits are treated as cryptocurrency disposal events by HMRC. Each USDC settlement is a taxable event subject to Capital Gains Tax (CGT). For 2026/27, the CGT rate is 18% (basic rate) or 24% (higher rate). The annual CGT exemption is £3,000. Report via HMRC Self Assessment if your total crypto gains exceed £3,000 or proceeds exceed £50,000.
- Does Polymarket KYC apply to UK users?
- Yes. Polymarket requires KYC (Know Your Customer) verification for all users, including UK residents. You must provide a government-issued photo ID and a selfie. The process typically takes 5–10 minutes via their ID verification provider.
- What is the legal difference between Polymarket and Betfair Exchange for UK traders?
- Betfair Exchange is UKGC-licensed, meaning UK consumer protections apply and winnings are typically tax-free. Polymarket is not UKGC-licensed — it operates under decentralised blockchain rules. Profits from Polymarket are subject to HMRC CGT as crypto disposals. Choose based on your regulatory preference and tax situation.
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