Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Legal UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 3.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 100% |
| Kent State 1H O/U 12.5 | 100% |
| Kent State 1H O/U 14.5 | 100% |
| Kent State 1H O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 8.5 | 92% |
| 3Q O/U 3.5 | 90% |
| 3Q O/U 6.5 | 90% |
| Spread -2.5 | 89% |
| Spread -1.5 | 88% |
| Spread -3.5 | 78% |
| Spread -4.5 | 74% |
| Spread -5.5 | 73% |
| O/U 37.5 | 71% |
| O/U 29.5 | 70% |
| O/U 31.5 | 68% |
| Spread -6.5 | 67% |
| O/U 33.5 | 67% |
| Kent State O/U 20.5 | 67% |
| O/U 35.5 | 63% |
| Spread -7.5 | 62% |
| Kent State O/U 23.5 | 62% |
| Spread -9.5 | 57% |
| Spread -8.5 | 55% |
| Spread -12.5 | 50% |
| Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -24.5 | 50% |
| O/U 67.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Ball State O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Ball State O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Ball State O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Kent State O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Kent State O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| Ball State 2H O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Ball State 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Ball State 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Kent State 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Kent State 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Kent State 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Ball State O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Kent State O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 50% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 50% |
| Ball State vs. Kent State: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Ball State vs. Kent State: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Ball State vs. Kent State: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Ball State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Ball State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Ball State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Kent State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Ball State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Kent State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Kent State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Ball State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Ball State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Kent State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Ball State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Kent State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Kent State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Ball State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Ball State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Kent State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Kent State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Kent State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Ball State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Ball State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Ball State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Kent State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Kent State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Kent State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Ball State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Ball State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Kent State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Kent State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Ball State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Ball State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Ball State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Kent State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Kent State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Kent State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Ball State Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Ball State Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Ball State Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Kent State Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Kent State Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Kent State Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Ball State Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Ball State Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Ball State Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Kent State Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Kent State Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Kent State Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Ball State vs. Kent State: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Ball State vs. Kent State: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Ball State vs. Kent State: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -0.5 | 49% |
| Spread -12.5 | 47% |
| O/U 41.5 | 46% |
| O/U 43.5 | 45% |
| Spread -10.5 | 44% |
| Spread -11.5 | 43% |
| O/U 47.5 | 38% |
| O/U 39.5 | 37% |
| Spread -18.5 | 36% |
| O/U 55.5 | 36% |
| Spread -21.5 | 35% |
| O/U 59.5 | 35% |
| O/U 61.5 | 35% |
| O/U 65.5 | 35% |
| Spread -14.5 | 33% |
| Kent State O/U 26.5 | 29% |
| Spread -17.5 | 21% |
| Spread -20.5 | 20% |
| Ball State O/U 20.5 | 19% |
| O/U 51.5 | 14% |
| O/U 45.5 | 13% |
| O/U 49.5 | 10% |
| Ball State vs. Kent State | 9% |
| O/U 63.5 | 9% |
| Ball State O/U 23.5 | 9% |
| Spread -2.5 | 8% |
| Spread -1.5 | 7% |
| Spread -10.5 | 5% |
| Spread -9.5 | 5% |
| Spread -3.5 | 5% |
| O/U 53.5 | 5% |
| Spread -6.5 | 4% |
| Spread -4.5 | 4% |
| Spread -16.5 | 3% |
| Spread -13.5 | 3% |
| O/U 57.5 | 3% |
| O/U 69.5 | 2% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 18.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 12.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 15.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 11.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 14.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 17.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 20.5 | 0% |
| Ball State 1H O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| Ball State 1H O/U 12.5 | 0% |
| Ball State 1H O/U 14.5 | 0% |
| 1H Moneyline | 0% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 0% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 0% |
Market context
Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for Ball State vs. Kent State. In the upcoming college football game between Ball State and Kent State, scheduled for September 26 at 12:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Ball State" if Ball State win the game. This market will…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $398K.
Methodology
This overview of Ball State vs. Kent State reviews the four comparable platforms from a regulatory perspective: which is accessible in your jurisdiction, where KYC kicks in, how the platform is classified by your country of residence. Live probability is the Polymarket mid; comparison columns show regulatory status, KYC thresholds and settlement options for each platform.
Resolution & payout
On Polymarket, resolution runs on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. USDC payout is instant and automatic, with no KYC. Tax treatment depends on your jurisdiction — in the US, gains are usually ordinary income; in the UK, often capital gains. Consult a tax professional for your situation.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- Is Polymarket legal in my country?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Actual usage via the Polymarket interface is not possible there. The legal status itself varies — many countries treat prediction markets as a gray area. Polymarket Legal UK has a different geo footprint.
- Is Polymarket regulated by the UKGC?
- No. Polymarket is not licensed by the UK Gambling Commission (UKGC). It is a decentralised prediction market operated under US regulation. UK traders can use it but do not benefit from UKGC dispute resolution or player protection requirements.
- What are the HMRC tax rules on Polymarket profits for UK traders?
- Polymarket profits are treated as cryptocurrency disposal events by HMRC. Each USDC settlement is a taxable event subject to Capital Gains Tax (CGT). For 2026/27, the CGT rate is 18% (basic rate) or 24% (higher rate). The annual CGT exemption is £3,000. Report via HMRC Self Assessment if your total crypto gains exceed £3,000 or proceeds exceed £50,000.
- Does Polymarket KYC apply to UK users?
- Yes. Polymarket requires KYC (Know Your Customer) verification for all users, including UK residents. You must provide a government-issued photo ID and a selfie. The process typically takes 5–10 minutes via their ID verification provider.
- What is the legal difference between Polymarket and Betfair Exchange for UK traders?
- Betfair Exchange is UKGC-licensed, meaning UK consumer protections apply and winnings are typically tax-free. Polymarket is not UKGC-licensed — it operates under decentralised blockchain rules. Profits from Polymarket are subject to HMRC CGT as crypto disposals. Choose based on your regulatory preference and tax situation.
%22%2F%3E%3Cpath%20d%3D%22M%206%2066%20A%2026%2026%200%200%201%2058%2066%22%20fill%3D%22%23E6B98D%22%20opacity%3D%220.9%22%2F%3E%3Ccircle%20cx%3D%2232%22%20cy%3D%2226%22%20r%3D%2222%22%20fill%3D%22%23F5CBA7%22%2F%3E%3Cpath%20d%3D%22M%2010%2018%20Q%2016%204%2026%2010%20Q%2020%202%2032%206%20Q%2044%202%2038%2010%20Q%2048%204%2054%2018%22%20stroke%3D%22%237c3aed%22%20stroke-width%3D%224%22%20fill%3D%22none%22%20stroke-linecap%3D%22round%22%2F%3E%3C%2Fsvg%3E){kind=small}
and%22%2F%3E%3Cpath%20d%3D%22M%206%2066%20A%2026%2026%200%200%201%2058%2066%22%20fill%3D%22%23E6B98D%22%20opacity%3D%220.9%22%2F%3E%3Ccircle%20cx%3D%2232%22%20cy%3D%2226%22%20r%3D%2222%22%20fill%3D%22%23F5CBA7%22%2F%3E%3Cpath%20d%3D%22M%2010%2026%20A%2022%2028%200%200%201%2054%2026%22%20fill%3D%22%237c3aed%22%20opacity%3D%220.9%22%2F%3E%3C%2Fsvg%3E){kind=small}
Trade Ball State vs. Kent State on Polymarket Legal UK
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →