Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Legal UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 100% |
| O/U 37.5 | 73% |
| O/U 35.5 | 72% |
| Spread -0.5 | 62% |
| O/U 41.5 | 57% |
| O/U 39.5 | 55% |
| Ball State vs. Bowling Green | 53% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 53% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 53% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 53% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 53% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 53% |
| Spread -1.5 | 52% |
| Bowling Green Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 51% |
| Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| O/U 49.5 | 50% |
| O/U 53.5 | 50% |
| O/U 55.5 | 50% |
| O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| O/U 61.5 | 50% |
| O/U 65.5 | 50% |
| O/U 67.5 | 50% |
| O/U 69.5 | 50% |
| O/U 71.5 | 50% |
| O/U 73.5 | 50% |
| O/U 75.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Ball State O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| Ball State O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Ball State O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Ball State O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Ball State O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| Bowling Green O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Bowling Green O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Bowling Green O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Bowling Green O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| Bowling Green O/U 35.5 | 50% |
| Ball State 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Ball State 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Ball State 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Bowling Green 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Bowling Green 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Bowling Green 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 50% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| Ball State vs. Bowling Green: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Bowling Green Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Ball State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Ball State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Ball State vs. Bowling Green: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Ball State vs. Bowling Green: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Ball State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Bowling Green Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Bowling Green Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Bowling Green Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Ball State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Ball State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Bowling Green Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Ball State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Ball State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Ball State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Ball State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Bowling Green Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Bowling Green Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Bowling Green Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Ball State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Ball State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Ball State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Bowling Green Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Bowling Green Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Bowling Green Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Ball State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Ball State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Bowling Green 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Bowling Green 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Ball State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Ball State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Bowling Green Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Bowling Green Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Bowling Green Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Ball State Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Ball State Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Ball State Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Bowling Green Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Bowling Green Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Bowling Green Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Ball State Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Ball State Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Ball State Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Bowling Green Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Bowling Green Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Bowling Green Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Ball State vs. Bowling Green: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Ball State vs. Bowling Green: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Ball State vs. Bowling Green: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Ball State O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Bowling Green O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| 1H Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Spread -13.5 | 49% |
| Ball State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Spread -2.5 | 48% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 47% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 47% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 47% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 47% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 47% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 47% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 47% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 47% |
| Spread -1.5 | 38% |
| Spread -2.5 | 34% |
| 1H O/U 33.5 | 25% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 25% |
| O/U 43.5 | 24% |
| O/U 45.5 | 24% |
| O/U 47.5 | 18% |
| Spread -5.5 | 13% |
| Spread -4.5 | 13% |
| Spread -3.5 | 13% |
| Spread -6.5 | 11% |
| Spread -3.5 | 11% |
| Spread -4.5 | 11% |
| Spread -6.5 | 11% |
| Spread -5.5 | 10% |
| Spread -7.5 | 9% |
| Spread -8.5 | 9% |
| Spread -10.5 | 9% |
| Spread -20.5 | 9% |
| Spread -13.5 | 8% |
| Spread -14.5 | 8% |
| O/U 51.5 | 8% |
| Spread -14.5 | 7% |
| Spread -10.5 | 7% |
| Spread -16.5 | 7% |
| Spread -17.5 | 6% |
| Spread -7.5 | 5% |
| O/U 57.5 | 4% |
| O/U 63.5 | 4% |
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| 3Q O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Ball State 1H O/U 11.5 | 0% |
| Ball State 1H O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| Ball State 1H O/U 15.5 | 0% |
| Bowling Green 1H O/U 12.5 | 0% |
| Bowling Green 1H O/U 14.5 | 0% |
| Bowling Green 1H O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 0% |
Market context
Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to ball state vs. bowling green. In the upcoming college football game between Ball State and Bowling Green, scheduled for October 17 at 12:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Ball State" if Ball State win the game. This market wil…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $116K.
Methodology
This overview of Ball State vs. Bowling Green reviews the four comparable platforms from a regulatory perspective: which is accessible in your jurisdiction, where KYC kicks in, how the platform is classified by your country of residence. Live probability is the Polymarket mid; comparison columns show regulatory status, KYC thresholds and settlement options for each platform.
Resolution & payout
On Polymarket, resolution runs on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. USDC payout is instant and automatic, with no KYC. Tax treatment depends on your jurisdiction — in the US, gains are usually ordinary income; in the UK, often capital gains. Consult a tax professional for your situation.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- Is Polymarket legal in my country?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Actual usage via the Polymarket interface is not possible there. The legal status itself varies — many countries treat prediction markets as a gray area. Polymarket Legal UK has a different geo footprint.
- Is Polymarket regulated by the UKGC?
- No. Polymarket is not licensed by the UK Gambling Commission (UKGC). It is a decentralised prediction market operated under US regulation. UK traders can use it but do not benefit from UKGC dispute resolution or player protection requirements.
- What are the HMRC tax rules on Polymarket profits for UK traders?
- Polymarket profits are treated as cryptocurrency disposal events by HMRC. Each USDC settlement is a taxable event subject to Capital Gains Tax (CGT). For 2026/27, the CGT rate is 18% (basic rate) or 24% (higher rate). The annual CGT exemption is £3,000. Report via HMRC Self Assessment if your total crypto gains exceed £3,000 or proceeds exceed £50,000.
- Does Polymarket KYC apply to UK users?
- Yes. Polymarket requires KYC (Know Your Customer) verification for all users, including UK residents. You must provide a government-issued photo ID and a selfie. The process typically takes 5–10 minutes via their ID verification provider.
- What is the legal difference between Polymarket and Betfair Exchange for UK traders?
- Betfair Exchange is UKGC-licensed, meaning UK consumer protections apply and winnings are typically tax-free. Polymarket is not UKGC-licensed — it operates under decentralised blockchain rules. Profits from Polymarket are subject to HMRC CGT as crypto disposals. Choose based on your regulatory preference and tax situation.
Trade Ball State vs. Bowling Green on Polymarket Legal UK
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →