Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket Legal UK Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Polymarket Legal UK → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Polymarket Legal UK → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Polymarket Legal UK → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Polymarket Legal UK → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Polymarket Legal UK → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Polymarket Legal UK.
Active sub-markets
| Brian Campbell | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Patrick Cantlay | 1% YES | 99% NO |
| Corey Conners | 1% YES | 99% NO |
| Matt Fitzpatrick | 1% YES | 99% NO |
| Tommy Fleetwood | 14% YES | 86% NO |
| Ryan Fox | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Market context
The Memorial Tournament presented by Workday is an annual PGA Tour event held at Muirfield Village Golf Club in Dublin, Ohio, typically scheduled for early June. The 2026 edition will take place within the settlement window closing 7 June 2026. This 72-hole stroke-play tournament attracts the world's top-ranked golfers and carries significant ranking points and prize money. The market resolves to "No" if a listed player is eliminated under official PGA Tour rules; if an unlisted player wins, it resolves to "Other."
Comparable markets on major PGA Tour events show that 0% implied probability typically reflects either a listed player's withdrawal, injury, or suspension prior to tournament commencement. Historical data from similar majors and tour events indicates that when a favourite or mid-tier player is listed, crowd probability rarely reaches zero unless concrete eligibility issues emerge. The Memorial's field size and competitive depth mean that listed players generally retain measurable odds until official disqualification occurs.
From a regulatory perspective, this market operates under differing frameworks depending on trader jurisdiction. The German GlüStV (Glücksspielstaatsvertrag) classifies prediction markets as gaming products requiring state licensing; UK-based platforms must comply with Gambling Commission standards. US CFTC reach extends to derivatives contracts, though prediction markets on sporting outcomes occupy a grey zone. The "no-KYC up to $1,500" threshold commonly cited for certain platforms means traders can access this specific market without identity verification below that stake level, though platform terms and user location determine actual accessibility. Traders should monitor official PGA Tour announcements regarding field confirmations, player withdrawals, and any rules changes affecting the 2026 schedule.
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $429K.
Methodology
This page reviews PGA Tour: the Memorial Tournament presented by Workday Winner across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Polymarket Legal UK — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket Legal UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on Polymarket Legal UK?
- Zero. Polymarket Legal UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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