Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Legal UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
63% | 37% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
63% | 37% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Scottie Scheffler | 63% |
| Steven Fisk | 15% |
| Viktor Hovland | 8% |
| Ludvig Aberg | 6% |
| Tommy Fleetwood | 4% |
| Sung-Jae Im | 4% |
| Patrick Cantlay | 2% |
| Wyndham Clark | 2% |
| Jordan Spieth | 2% |
| Cameron Young | 2% |
| Akshay Bhatia | 1% |
| Jacob Bridgeman | 1% |
| Sam Burns | 1% |
| Ricky Castillo | 1% |
| Bud Cauley | 1% |
| Eric Cole | 1% |
| Corey Conners | 1% |
| Nicolas Echavarria | 1% |
| Harris English | 1% |
| Alex Fitzpatrick | 1% |
| Matt Fitzpatrick | 1% |
| Rickie Fowler | 1% |
| Ryan Fox | 1% |
| Ryan Gerard | 1% |
| Chris Gotterup | 1% |
| Ben Griffin | 1% |
| Harry Hall | 1% |
| Brian Harman | 1% |
| Russell Henley | 1% |
| Ryo Hisatsune | 1% |
| Nicolai Hojgaard | 1% |
| Max Homa | 1% |
| Michael Kim | 1% |
| Si Woo Kim | 1% |
| Tom Kim | 1% |
| Kurt Kitayama | 1% |
| Jake Knapp | 1% |
| Min Woo Lee | 1% |
| Shane Lowry | 1% |
| Hideki Matsuyama | 1% |
| Matt McCarty | 1% |
| Rory McIlroy | 1% |
| Maverick McNealy | 1% |
| Keith Mitchell | 1% |
| Collin Morikawa | 1% |
| Alexander Noren | 1% |
| JT Poston | 1% |
| Aaron Rai | 1% |
| Kristoffer Reitan | 1% |
| Justin Rose | 1% |
| Xander Schauffele | 1% |
| Matthias Schmid | 1% |
| Adam Scott | 1% |
| Alex Smalley | 1% |
| Jordan L. Smith | 1% |
| J.J. Spaun | 1% |
| Sam Stevens | 1% |
| Sepp Straka | 1% |
| Nick Taylor | 1% |
| Sahith Theegala | 1% |
| Justin Thomas | 1% |
| Michael Thorbjornsen | 1% |
| Gary Woodland | 1% |
| Sudarshan Yellamaraju | 1% |
| Pierceson Coody | 0% |
| Jackson Koivun | 0% |
| Robert MacIntyre | 0% |
| Aldrich Potgieter | 0% |
| Patrick Rodgers | 0% |
| Player 0 | 0% |
| Player 1 | 0% |
| Player 2 | 0% |
| Player 3 | 0% |
| Player 4 | 0% |
| Player 5 | 0% |
| Player 6 | 0% |
| Player 7 | 0% |
| Player 8 | 0% |
| Player 9 | 0% |
| Player 10 | 0% |
| Player 11 | 0% |
| Player 12 | 0% |
| Player 13 | 0% |
| Player 14 | 0% |
| Player 15 | 0% |
| Player 16 | 0% |
| Player 17 | 0% |
| Player 18 | 0% |
| Player 19 | 0% |
| Other | 0% |
Market context
Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 63% probability to pga tour: fedex st. jude championship winner. This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 FedEx St. Jude Championship tournament. If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the FedEx St. Jude Championship …
Methodology
This overview of PGA Tour: FedEx St. Jude Championship Winner reviews the four comparable platforms from a regulatory perspective: which is accessible in your jurisdiction, where KYC kicks in, how the platform is classified by your country of residence. Live probability is the Polymarket mid; comparison columns show regulatory status, KYC thresholds and settlement options for each platform.
Resolution & payout
On Polymarket, resolution runs on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. USDC payout is instant and automatic, with no KYC. Tax treatment depends on your jurisdiction — in the US, gains are usually ordinary income; in the UK, often capital gains. Consult a tax professional for your situation.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- Is Polymarket legal in my country?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Actual usage via the Polymarket interface is not possible there. The legal status itself varies — many countries treat prediction markets as a gray area. Polymarket Legal UK has a different geo footprint.
- Is Polymarket regulated by the UKGC?
- No. Polymarket is not licensed by the UK Gambling Commission (UKGC). It is a decentralised prediction market operated under US regulation. UK traders can use it but do not benefit from UKGC dispute resolution or player protection requirements.
- What are the HMRC tax rules on Polymarket profits for UK traders?
- Polymarket profits are treated as cryptocurrency disposal events by HMRC. Each USDC settlement is a taxable event subject to Capital Gains Tax (CGT). For 2026/27, the CGT rate is 18% (basic rate) or 24% (higher rate). The annual CGT exemption is £3,000. Report via HMRC Self Assessment if your total crypto gains exceed £3,000 or proceeds exceed £50,000.
- Does Polymarket KYC apply to UK users?
- Yes. Polymarket requires KYC (Know Your Customer) verification for all users, including UK residents. You must provide a government-issued photo ID and a selfie. The process typically takes 5–10 minutes via their ID verification provider.
- What is the legal difference between Polymarket and Betfair Exchange for UK traders?
- Betfair Exchange is UKGC-licensed, meaning UK consumer protections apply and winnings are typically tax-free. Polymarket is not UKGC-licensed — it operates under decentralised blockchain rules. Profits from Polymarket are subject to HMRC CGT as crypto disposals. Choose based on your regulatory preference and tax situation.
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