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PGA Tour: FedEx St. Jude Championship First Round Leader

"PGA Tour: FedEx St. Jude Championship First Round Leader" — odds, fees, regulatory status. Polymarket Legal UK as a Polymarket alternative.

Michael Thorbjornsen 100% Ludvig Aberg 0% Akshay Bhatia 0% Jacob Bridgeman 0% Volume: $99K Closes: 16 Aug 2026
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PGA Tour: FedEx St. Jude Championship First Round Leader

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Legal UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Michael Thorbjornsen100%
Ludvig Aberg0%
Akshay Bhatia0%
Jacob Bridgeman0%
Sam Burns0%
Patrick Cantlay0%
Ricky Castillo0%
Bud Cauley0%
Wyndham Clark0%
Eric Cole0%
Corey Conners0%
Pierceson Coody0%
Nicolas Echavarria0%
Harris English0%
Steven Fisk0%
Alex Fitzpatrick0%
Matt Fitzpatrick0%
Tommy Fleetwood0%
Rickie Fowler0%
Ryan Fox0%
Ryan Gerard0%
Chris Gotterup0%
Ben Griffin0%
Harry Hall0%
Brian Harman0%
Russell Henley0%
Ryo Hisatsune0%
Nicolai Hojgaard0%
Max Homa0%
Viktor Hovland0%
Sung-Jae Im0%
Michael Kim0%
Si Woo Kim0%
Tom Kim0%
Kurt Kitayama0%
Jake Knapp0%
Jackson Koivun0%
Min Woo Lee0%
Shane Lowry0%
Robert MacIntyre0%
Hideki Matsuyama0%
Matt McCarty0%
Rory McIlroy0%
Maverick McNealy0%
Keith Mitchell0%
Collin Morikawa0%
Alexander Noren0%
JT Poston0%
Aldrich Potgieter0%
Aaron Rai0%
Kristoffer Reitan0%
Patrick Rodgers0%
Justin Rose0%
Xander Schauffele0%
Scottie Scheffler0%
Matthias Schmid0%
Adam Scott0%
Alex Smalley0%
Jordan L. Smith0%
J.J. Spaun0%
Jordan Spieth0%
Sam Stevens0%
Sepp Straka0%
Nick Taylor0%
Sahith Theegala0%
Justin Thomas0%
Gary Woodland0%
Sudarshan Yellamaraju0%
Cameron Young0%
Player 00%
Player 10%
Player 20%
Player 30%
Player 40%
Player 50%
Player 60%
Player 70%
Player 80%
Player 90%
Player 100%
Player 110%
Player 120%
Player 130%
Player 140%
Player 150%
Player 160%
Player 170%
Player 180%
Player 190%
Other0%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for PGA Tour: FedEx St. Jude Championship First Round Leader. This market will resolve according to the player that finishes Round 1 of the main tournament at the 2026 FedEx St. Jude Championship with the lowest cumulative score to par. In the event of a tie, t…

Methodology

This overview of PGA Tour: FedEx St. Jude Championship First Round Leader reviews the four comparable platforms from a regulatory perspective: which is accessible in your jurisdiction, where KYC kicks in, how the platform is classified by your country of residence. Live probability is the Polymarket mid; comparison columns show regulatory status, KYC thresholds and settlement options for each platform.

Resolution & payout

On Polymarket, resolution runs on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. USDC payout is instant and automatic, with no KYC. Tax treatment depends on your jurisdiction — in the US, gains are usually ordinary income; in the UK, often capital gains. Consult a tax professional for your situation.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Do I need to KYC for Polymarket Legal UK?
Not for lifetime trading volume under $1,500. Above that threshold, a quick KYC flow kicks in — ID, selfie, approximately 5-10 minutes. The threshold matches FATF travel standards for unregulated crypto platforms.
Is Polymarket regulated by the UKGC?
No. Polymarket is not licensed by the UK Gambling Commission (UKGC). It is a decentralised prediction market operated under US regulation. UK traders can use it but do not benefit from UKGC dispute resolution or player protection requirements.
What are the HMRC tax rules on Polymarket profits for UK traders?
Polymarket profits are treated as cryptocurrency disposal events by HMRC. Each USDC settlement is a taxable event subject to Capital Gains Tax (CGT). For 2026/27, the CGT rate is 18% (basic rate) or 24% (higher rate). The annual CGT exemption is £3,000. Report via HMRC Self Assessment if your total crypto gains exceed £3,000 or proceeds exceed £50,000.
Does Polymarket KYC apply to UK users?
Yes. Polymarket requires KYC (Know Your Customer) verification for all users, including UK residents. You must provide a government-issued photo ID and a selfie. The process typically takes 5–10 minutes via their ID verification provider.
What is the legal difference between Polymarket and Betfair Exchange for UK traders?
Betfair Exchange is UKGC-licensed, meaning UK consumer protections apply and winnings are typically tax-free. Polymarket is not UKGC-licensed — it operates under decentralised blockchain rules. Profits from Polymarket are subject to HMRC CGT as crypto disposals. Choose based on your regulatory preference and tax situation.
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