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PGA Tour: 3M Open Top 20

"PGA Tour: 3M Open Top 20" — odds, fees, regulatory status. Polymarket Legal UK as a Polymarket alternative.

Scottie Scheffler 81% S.Y. Noh 50% Kurt Kitayama 44% Hideki Matsuyama 38% Volume: $60K Liquidity: $637K Closes: 26 Jul 2026
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PGA Tour: 3M Open Top 20

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Legal UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
81% 19% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
81% 19% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Scottie Scheffler81%
S.Y. Noh50%
Kurt Kitayama44%
Hideki Matsuyama38%
Maverick McNealy36%
Jackson Koivun33%
Corey Conners31%
Sung-Jae Im31%
Sam Stevens30%
Jake Knapp29%
Tom Kim28%
Pierceson Coody28%
Jackson Suber28%
Jordan L. Smith28%
Benjamin James28%
Max Homa25%
Michael Brennan25%
Brian Harman25%
Christiaan Bezuidenhout23%
Michael Kim23%
Zac Blair22%
Davis Thompson21%
Emiliano Grillo21%
Lucas Glover21%
Zach Bauchou21%
Tony Finau20%
Ricky Castillo20%
Keith Mitchell19%
Doug Ghim19%
Mac Meissner19%
Taylor Pendrith19%
Denny McCarthy19%
Aldrich Potgieter18%
Rico Hoey18%
Lee Hodges18%
Keita Nakajima18%
Max Greyserman17%
Ben Kohles17%
Andrew Putnam17%
Seamus Power17%
Takumi Kanaya17%
Kevin Roy17%
Johnny Keefer16%
Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen16%
Casey Jarvis16%
Taylor Moore16%
Max McGreevy16%
Jesper Svensson16%
Ze-Cheng Dou16%
Austin Smotherman16%
Tom Hoge16%
Steven Fisk15%
Preston Stout15%
Chris Kirk15%
Gary Woodland14%
Sudarshan Yellamaraju14%
William Mouw14%
Beau Hossler14%
John Parry14%
Billy Horschel14%
Joel Dahmen14%
Brandt Snedeker14%
Kevin Yu13%
Mackenzie Hughes13%
Garrick Higgo13%
Kristoffer Ventura12%
Aaron Wise12%
Stephan Jaeger11%
Thorbjorn Olesen11%
Adrien Dumont De Chassart11%
Matt Kuchar11%
A.J. Ewart11%
Austin Eckroat11%
Matthieu Pavon11%
Nick Dunlap11%
Neal Shipley11%
Hao-Tong Li10%
Patrick Rodgers10%
Patrick Fishburn10%
Karl Vilips10%
Luke Clanton10%
David Skinns10%
Chandler Phillips10%
Chad Ramey9%
Erik Van Rooyen9%
Pontus Nyholm9%
Trace Crowe9%
David Lipsky9%
Mark Hubbard9%
Lanto Griffin9%
Adam Hadwin9%
Ryder Cowan7%
Hayden Springer7%
Vince Whaley7%
Harry Higgs6%
Jimmy Stanger6%
Gordon Sargent5%
Cameron Champ5%
Luke List4%
Jason Day1%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 81% probability to pga tour: 3m open top 20. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player finishes in the top 20 at the 2026 3M Open tournament, including ties. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If final results are not anno…

Methodology

This overview of PGA Tour: 3M Open Top 20 reviews the four comparable platforms from a regulatory perspective: which is accessible in your jurisdiction, where KYC kicks in, how the platform is classified by your country of residence. Live probability is the Polymarket mid; comparison columns show regulatory status, KYC thresholds and settlement options for each platform.

Resolution & payout

On Polymarket, resolution runs on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. USDC payout is instant and automatic, with no KYC. Tax treatment depends on your jurisdiction — in the US, gains are usually ordinary income; in the UK, often capital gains. Consult a tax professional for your situation.

FAQ

Is Polymarket legal in my country?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Actual usage via the Polymarket interface is not possible there. The legal status itself varies — many countries treat prediction markets as a gray area. Polymarket Legal UK has a different geo footprint.
Can I trade anonymously?
Pseudonymously, yes — up to the KYC threshold. Polymarket Legal UK stores an email address and wallet addresses rather than a legal name. Over $1,500 lifetime volume triggers KYC, after which identity is no longer anonymous.
What happens during a tax audit?
You're responsible for documenting your trades. Polymarket Legal UK exports a full transaction history (CSV/PDF) for tax reporting. In an audit you'll need to present these documents.
Are prediction markets gambling?
Legally unclear in most jurisdictions. Some interpretations classify them as wagering (gambling regulation applies), others as derivatives (financial regulation applies). There's no global precedent specifically for on-chain prediction markets.
Is there a withdrawal cap?
No platform-side cap. You can withdraw any amount provided KYC is complete. SEPA bank withdrawals over €15,000 trigger additional anti-money-laundering checks (statutory obligation for all platforms).
and

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