Egypt vs. IR Iran - Exact Score

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

The upcoming FIFA World Cup match between Egypt and IR Iran, scheduled for 27 June 2026 at Seattle Stadium, will determine the final score after 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty shoot-outs. This specific event underpins the prediction market currently showing a 16% crowd-implied probability for an exact score outcome, with settlement finalising at 03:00 UTC on 27 June.

Historical precedents in Group G, where both nations hold identical 1-1-0 records, suggest tight defensive contests often resolve to low-scoring draws or narrow wins, framing the current 16% probability as plausible for specific exact scores like 1-0 or 1-1. Comparable matches in recent World Cup qualifiers between African and Asian teams frequently end with under 1.5 goals, reinforcing the likelihood that exact score markets remain volatile until line-ups confirm attacking intent.

Traders should monitor official line-up announcements released shortly before the 03:00 UTC kick-off, as injuries to key attackers like Egypt’s clinical edge or Iran’s legendary defence could drastically shift score probabilities. Recent training footage confirms both squads are fully prepared, but any late squad changes reported by FIFA or major sports outlets such as ESPN will serve as immediate catalysts for probability adjustments. The regulatory landscape, including German GlüStV implications and US CFTC reach, means that platforms offering “no-KYC up to $1,500” significantly enhance accessibility for this market, allowing broader participation without identity verification hurdles.

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Methodology

This page reviews Egypt vs. IR Iran - Exact Score across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Polymarket Legal UK — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Polymarket Legal UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket Legal UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Polymarket Legal UK?

Zero. Polymarket Legal UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.