Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket Legal UK Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Polymarket Legal UK → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Polymarket Legal UK → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Polymarket Legal UK → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Polymarket Legal UK → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Polymarket Legal UK → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Polymarket Legal UK.
Active sub-markets
| 1st Half Total Corners: O/U 4.5 | 0% Over | 100% Under |
| 1st Half Total Corners: O/U 5.5 | 0% Over | 100% Under |
| 2nd Half Total Corners: O/U 3.5 | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| 2nd Half Total Corners: O/U 4.5 | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| 2nd Half Total Corners: O/U 5.5 | 0% Over | 100% Under |
| Total Corners: Odd or Even | 100% Odd | 0% Even |
Market context
The underlying event is the FIFA World Cup Group K match between Colombia and DR Congo, played on 23 June at 10:00 PM ET, where the market assesses whether the combined total of corners reaches a set threshold. With the crowd-implied probability for “YES” at 0%, the market currently suggests the game will finish with fewer corners than required, a stance that aligns with the 0–0 half-time scoreline already recorded in the fixture[2].
Historically, comparable World Cup matches involving debutant nations like DR Congo—whose first-ever World Cup appearance is in 2026—often feature cautious, low-tempo opening phases that suppress corner counts[5]. In Group K, Colombia’s attacking set-ups rely heavily on players such as James Rodríguez and Luis Díaz for direct free kicks and penalties, yet their set-piece conversion rates have been modest in recent tournaments[1][3]. This pattern mirrors prior encounters where teams prioritised defensive structure over aggressive pressing, leading to fewer corner opportunities overall.
Traders should monitor post-match statistical releases and any official announcements regarding extra time or stoppage time, as the market resolves based on stats from regulation, stoppage, and any extra time played[4]. A key dependency is whether the match proceeds to knockout-stage rules, which could extend play and increase corner volume. Recent coverage from ESPN confirms the half-time score and notes live updates are available for final match statistics, which will determine the outcome[2]. Regulatory frameworks such as Germany’s GlüStV and US CFTC reach influence market accessibility, while “no-KYC up to $1,500” allows broader participation without identity verification, enhancing liquidity for this specific prediction[4].
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Legal UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket Legal UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket Legal UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Colombia vs. DR Congo - Total Corners on Polymarket Legal UK
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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