England vs. Croatia - Exact Score

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Active sub-markets

Market context

England and Croatia will meet in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage on 17 June at 4:00 PM ET. The market settles on the exact final score at the end of 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding any extra time or penalty outcomes. A 9% crowd probability suggests traders view a specific scoreline as unlikely, with most volume concentrated on "Any Other Score" or alternative exact results.

Historical precedent for England–Croatia fixtures shows competitive matches with varied outcomes. Their last World Cup encounter in 2018 saw Croatia prevail 2–1 after extra time in the semi-final; their most recent competitive fixture ended goalless in UEFA Nations League play. Exact-score markets typically reflect underlying team strength, recent form, and head-to-head patterns. England's attacking depth and Croatia's defensive resilience create a wide distribution of plausible outcomes, which explains why any single scoreline commands single-digit probability.

Traders should monitor squad announcements through spring 2026, injury updates to key players, and final group-stage seeding, as these affect tactical approach and expected goal-scoring patterns. The settlement window closes at 20:00 UTC on match day, allowing no post-match adjustments. Under German GlüStV regulations, this market may face restrictions in certain jurisdictions; US CFTC oversight applies to binary outcome derivatives, though many prediction platforms operate under exemptions for non-leveraged contracts. Platforms offering no-KYC access up to $1,500 typically require verification only for larger positions, meaning this market remains accessible to retail traders within that threshold without identity documentation.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Legal UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket Legal UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What does it cost to trade on Polymarket Legal UK?

Zero. Polymarket Legal UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket Legal UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.