Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket Legal UK Pick polygram.ink |
7% | 93% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Polymarket Legal UK → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
7% | 93% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Polymarket Legal UK → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Polymarket Legal UK → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Polymarket Legal UK → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Polymarket Legal UK → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Polymarket Legal UK.
Active sub-markets
| Austria 0 - 0 Jordan | 7% YES | 94% NO |
| Austria 1 - 0 Jordan | 13% YES | 87% NO |
| Austria 1 - 1 Jordan | 10% YES | 91% NO |
| Austria 0 - 3 Jordan | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Austria 2 - 1 Jordan | 11% YES | 90% NO |
| Austria 1 - 3 Jordan | 1% YES | 99% NO |
Market context
Austria and Jordan will meet in the group stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup on 17 June at 12:00 AM ET. This market settles on the exact final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Any outcome not explicitly listed resolves to "Any Other Score." The 6% crowd probability assigned to this specific scoreline reflects the low likelihood of both teams producing that precise result, though the actual fixture remains months away and squad composition, injury status, and tactical preparation remain fluid variables.
Exact-score markets in international football typically reflect historical scoring patterns between comparable nations. Austria has qualified for recent World Cups and Euros, whilst Jordan qualified for the 2026 tournament as an AFC representative. Historical precedent suggests group-stage matches between European and Asian confederation teams produce varied scorelines; Austria's recent form includes competitive performances against established sides, whilst Jordan's qualification represents a significant achievement but signals a relative gap in playing strength. These contextual factors inform why the crowd has assigned minimal probability to any single exact outcome, with most probability mass distributed across "Any Other Score."
Traders should monitor squad announcements from both federations, injury updates to key players, and any fixture rescheduling notices from FIFA. The settlement window closes 17 June 2026 at 04:00 AM ET, allowing four hours post-match for official confirmation. Under German GlüStV regulations, prediction markets on sporting events require operator licensing; US CFTC oversight applies to derivatives-like instruments, though binary sports outcomes occupy a regulatory grey zone. Platforms offering no-KYC access up to $1,500 typically operate under exemptions for small-value contracts or jurisdictional carve-outs, meaning this market's accessibility depends on the operator's licensing framework and the trader's residency.
Methodology
This page reviews Austria vs. Jordan - Exact Score across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Polymarket Legal UK — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Polymarket Legal UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket Legal UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- What does it cost to trade on Polymarket Legal UK?
- Zero. Polymarket Legal UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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