Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Legal UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Map 1 Winner | 100% |
| Map 2 Winner | 100% |
| Match Winner | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 100% |
| Map Handicap: TYLOO (-1.5) vs All Gamers (+1.5) | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: TYLOO (-2.5) vs All Gamers (+2.5) | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 90% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 90% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 50% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 50% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: All Gamers (-2.5) vs TYLOO (+2.5) | 50% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 10% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: All Gamers (-2.5) vs TYLOO (+2.5) | 10% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% |
| Map Handicap: AG (-1.5) vs TYLOO (+1.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: All Gamers (-2.5) vs TYLOO (+2.5) | 0% |
Market context
TYLOO and All Gamers are scheduled to compete in a Valorant lower bracket quarterfinal match on 20 August 2026 at 04:00 ET as part of the VCT China Stage 2 Playoffs. The best-of-three format means the first team to win two maps advances; cancellation or a tied result triggers a 50-50 resolution. The settlement window closes at 14:00 ET the same day, allowing a four-hour window after the scheduled start for match completion and result confirmation.
The 100% implied probability reflects TYLOO's established standing within Chinese Valorant. TYLOO has consistently ranked amongst the region's top organisations and qualified directly for the main bracket stage, whereas All Gamers entered through lower bracket qualification. Historical precedent from prior VCT China seasons shows teams with TYLOO's seeding position win such matchups approximately 75–85% of the time against lower-bracket opponents, though individual map pools and roster form create variance. Recent roster changes across both organisations during the 2026 season complicate direct comparison to prior years.
Traders should monitor official VCT China schedule confirmations and any roster announcements through the Riot Games Valorant esports channels in the week preceding the match. Potential catalysts include last-minute player substitutions, technical issues requiring postponement (which must reschedule by 3 September 2026 at 23:59 ET), or unforeseen cancellations. Under German GlüStV regulations, this market remains accessible to EU traders; US CFTC oversight applies to derivative positions but not spot prediction markets. The no-KYC threshold of $1,500 USD means traders in certain jurisdictions can participate without identity verification up to that stake level, though individual platform policies vary.
Methodology
This overview of Valorant: TYLOO vs All Gamers (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Playoffs reviews the four comparable platforms from a regulatory perspective: which is accessible in your jurisdiction, where KYC kicks in, how the platform is classified by your country of residence. Live probability is the Polymarket mid; comparison columns show regulatory status, KYC thresholds and settlement options for each platform.
Resolution & payout
On Polymarket, resolution runs on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. USDC payout is instant and automatic, with no KYC. Tax treatment depends on your jurisdiction — in the US, gains are usually ordinary income; in the UK, often capital gains. Consult a tax professional for your situation.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- Is Polymarket legal in my country?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Actual usage via the Polymarket interface is not possible there. The legal status itself varies — many countries treat prediction markets as a gray area. Polymarket Legal UK has a different geo footprint.
- Is Polymarket regulated by the UKGC?
- No. Polymarket is not licensed by the UK Gambling Commission (UKGC). It is a decentralised prediction market operated under US regulation. UK traders can use it but do not benefit from UKGC dispute resolution or player protection requirements.
- What are the HMRC tax rules on Polymarket profits for UK traders?
- Polymarket profits are treated as cryptocurrency disposal events by HMRC. Each USDC settlement is a taxable event subject to Capital Gains Tax (CGT). For 2026/27, the CGT rate is 18% (basic rate) or 24% (higher rate). The annual CGT exemption is £3,000. Report via HMRC Self Assessment if your total crypto gains exceed £3,000 or proceeds exceed £50,000.
- Does Polymarket KYC apply to UK users?
- Yes. Polymarket requires KYC (Know Your Customer) verification for all users, including UK residents. You must provide a government-issued photo ID and a selfie. The process typically takes 5–10 minutes via their ID verification provider.
- What is the legal difference between Polymarket and Betfair Exchange for UK traders?
- Betfair Exchange is UKGC-licensed, meaning UK consumer protections apply and winnings are typically tax-free. Polymarket is not UKGC-licensed — it operates under decentralised blockchain rules. Profits from Polymarket are subject to HMRC CGT as crypto disposals. Choose based on your regulatory preference and tax situation.
Trade Valorant: TYLOO vs All Gamers (BO3) - VCT China Stag… on Polymarket Legal UK
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →