LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs DetonatioN FocusMe (BO3) - LCP Regular Season

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Active sub-markets

Market context

The underlying event is a League of Legends match between Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming and DetonatioN FocusMe in the LCP Regular Season, where Hawks secured a 2–1 victory in their initial contest on 3 May 2026, confirming the market’s 100% YES settlement for Hawks winning the series[1][4]. This result aligns with Hawks’ stronger regular-season standing, having recorded four wins against DetonatioN’s seven losses, suggesting the crowd-implied probability reflects a settled outcome rather than speculative uncertainty[7].

Historical precedents in Pacific League play, such as DetonatioN’s 2–0 win over Hawks in a prior Playoffs qualifier, demonstrate that single-match outcomes can diverge from series results, yet the current 100% probability indicates the series has already concluded with Hawks as the winner[3]. Comparable cases in LCP history show that teams with lower win percentages can still clinch series victories, but Hawks’ consistent performance in Split 1 validates the market’s certainty[7].

Traders should monitor official Riot Games announcements regarding LCP scheduling adjustments or player eligibility changes, as these dependencies could affect future match validity, though the current settlement window remains fixed until 3 May 2027[2]. Recent LCP standings confirm Hawks’ position as sixth with a 43% win rate, while DetonatioN sits eighth with 0%, reinforcing the factual basis for the market’s resolution[7]. No further catalysts are expected given the match’s completed status, and accessibility remains high under German GlüStV rules allowing no-KYC participation up to €1,500, while US CFTC reach does not impede this specific market’s operation for non-US residents.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Legal UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Polymarket Legal UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket Legal UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.