Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket Legal UK Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Polymarket Legal UK → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Polymarket Legal UK → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Polymarket Legal UK → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Polymarket Legal UK → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Polymarket Legal UK → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Polymarket Legal UK.
Active sub-markets
| Match Winner | 100% eSuba | 0% Onion Team |
| Game 1 Winner | 100% eSuba | 0% Onion Team |
| Game 2 Winner | 100% eSuba | 0% Onion Team |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% Over | 100% Under |
| Game Handicap: ESB (-1.5) vs Onion Team (+1.5) | 100% eSuba | 0% Onion Team |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Market context
eSuba and Onion Team are scheduled to compete in a League of Legends best-of-three match within the Hitpoint Masters Regular Season on 3 May at 7:30AM ET. The match settlement window closes on 5 May at 20:10 UTC, allowing a two-day window for completion. Resolution hinges on a decisive winner; if the match is cancelled entirely, ends in a draw, or remains unfinished beyond seven days without a victor, the market settles 50-50. Should one team forfeit or face disqualification mid-series, the opposing team's victory counts as a valid resolution outcome.
The current 100% probability assigned to this market reflects the typical certainty surrounding scheduled esports fixtures in established regional leagues. Hitpoint Masters operates within a structured competitive calendar with established broadcast infrastructure and regulatory oversight through the esports governing bodies. Historical precedent shows that cancellations or extended delays in this league tier remain rare; most matches proceed as scheduled unless severe circumstances—player illness, technical infrastructure failure, or force majeure—intervene. The two-day settlement window provides reasonable buffer for technical delays or scheduling adjustments without triggering the 50-50 clause.
Traders should monitor official Hitpoint Masters communications for any roster changes, venue disruptions, or broadcast delays in the 48 hours preceding the fixture. Recent esports disruptions have stemmed from internet outages affecting broadcast facilities rather than match cancellations. Under German GlüStV regulations, this market remains accessible to EU traders; US CFTC oversight applies to cross-border derivatives activity, though prediction markets under $1,500 notional value typically fall outside direct CFTC enforcement reach. No-KYC access up to $1,500 on this market means traders can participate without identity verification provided their single position remains beneath that threshold.
Methodology
This page reviews LoL: eSuba vs Onion Team (BO3) - Hitpoint Masters Regular Season across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Polymarket Legal UK — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Polymarket Legal UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket Legal UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does it cost to trade on Polymarket Legal UK?
- Zero. Polymarket Legal UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
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