Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket Legal UK Pick polygram.ink |
10% | 90% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Polymarket Legal UK → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
10% | 90% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Polymarket Legal UK → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Polymarket Legal UK → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Polymarket Legal UK → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Polymarket Legal UK → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Polymarket Legal UK.
Active sub-markets
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Inner Circle Esports (-3.5) vs 9INE (+3.5) | 10% Inner Circle Esports | 90% 9INE |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: 9INE (-3.5) vs Inner Circle Esports (+3.5) | 10% 9INE | 90% Inner Circle Esports |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: 9INE (-6.5) vs Inner Circle Esports (+6.5) | 10% 9INE | 90% Inner Circle Esports |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Inner Circle Esports (-6.5) vs 9INE (+6.5) | 0% Inner Circle Esports | 100% 9INE |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Inner Circle Esports (-3.5) vs 9INE (+3.5) | 100% Inner Circle Esports | 0% 9INE |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 0% Over | 100% Under |
Market context
The underlying event is a Counter-Strike 2 lower-bracket semifinal between Inner Circle Esports and 9INE, scheduled for 5:00 AM ET on 25 June 2026 within the Super DraculaN Group A. The market resolves to Inner Circle Esports if they win, to 9INE if they prevail, and to a 50-50 split if the match is cancelled, tied, or delayed beyond seven days without a winner.
Historical head-to-head records show a balanced streak with one win and one loss in their last five Counter-Strike meetings, suggesting the current 10% crowd-implied probability for Inner Circle Esports may reflect recent form rather than a fundamental skill gap[1][4]. Comparable cases in lower-tier CS2 tournaments often see volatile pricing when teams share similar regional backgrounds, as 9INE (formerly Monarchs) is a Swedish organisation managed by Inner Circle Esports, creating a unique intra-organisational dynamic that can skew market expectations[3].
Traders should monitor the official match start time at 5:30 AM ET and any live score updates, as delays or cancellations would trigger the 50-50 settlement clause[2][5]. Recent tournament schedules indicate this match is part of Digital Crusade Super DraculaN Season 1, where organisational dependencies could influence player availability or strategic approach[2]. While German GlüStV and US CFTC regulations impose KYC thresholds for larger transactions, the “no-KYC up to $1,500” provision allows retail participants to access this market without identity verification, enhancing accessibility for smaller traders despite regulatory reach[7].
Methodology
This page reviews Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs 9INE (BO3) - Super DraculaN Group A across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Polymarket Legal UK — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Polymarket Legal UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket Legal UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket Legal UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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