About the author
Marc Jakob is Senior Editor at PolyGram, focused on prediction markets, crypto order flow, and the mechanics of decentralised settlement systems. Since 2018 he has analysed how Polymarket, Kalshi and Betfair Exchange translate probability estimates into live order-book quotes.
His coverage spans market structure (CLOB vs. AMM design), on-chain resolution via the UMA Optimistic Oracle, and the evolving regulatory landscape for prediction-market platforms in the EU and US. Marc has published on conditional-token architectures, liquidity fragmentation, and cross-platform arbitrage.
Before PolyGram, Marc worked as a quant analyst at a Frankfurt buy-side desk and wrote about DeFi structures for English-language crypto publications.
Areas of expertise
Prediction MarketsPolymarketOn-Chain SettlementUSDCPolygonMarket StructureDeFi
Recent articles by Marc Jakob
How to Deposit on Polymarket: Step-by-Step Guide 2025
1 April 2026Polymarket deposit
Prediction Market Strategies: How to Profit in 2026
28 April 2026prediction market strategies
Is Polymarket Legal? Regulation Guide for 2026
28 April 2026is polymarket legal
Understanding Prediction Market Odds and Probability
28 April 2026prediction market odds
How to Find Arbitrage in Prediction Markets
1 May 2026prediction market arbitrage
Prediction Markets vs Polls: Which Is More Accurate?
1 May 2026prediction markets vs polls
Crypto Futures vs Prediction Markets: Key Differences
1 May 2026crypto futures vs prediction markets
Kelly Criterion for Prediction Markets: Size Your Bets
1 May 2026Kelly criterion prediction markets
US Senate 2026: Prediction Market Odds by State
1 May 2026US Senate prediction market 2026
Will Bitcoin Hit $100K? Prediction Market Analysis
1 May 2026Bitcoin 100K prediction
CFTC and Prediction Markets: The Regulatory Landscape
1 May 2026CFTC prediction markets
What Is a Prediction Market? The Complete 2026 Guide
1 May 2026what is a prediction market
How to Make Money with Prediction Markets in 2026: A Realistic Guide
1 May 2026how to make money prediction markets
NFL 2026 Prediction Markets: Super Bowl LXI Odds & Season Guide
1 May 2026NFL prediction markets 2026
Kalshi Alternative 2026: Why PolyGram Beats CFTC-Regulated Markets
1 May 2026kalshi alternative
Prediction Market Liquidity: Why It Matters and How to Find Deep Markets
1 May 2026prediction market liquidity
Information Markets vs Prediction Markets: How Forecasting Aggregates Knowledge
1 May 2026information markets prediction markets
Conditional Prediction Markets Explained: How Nested Forecasts Work
1 May 2026conditional prediction markets
UEFA Champions League 2025/26 Prediction Markets: Winner Odds & Quarter-Final Guide
1 May 2026champions league prediction market 2026
Golf Major Prediction Markets 2026: Masters, US Open & The Open Champion Odds
1 May 2026golf prediction market 2026
AI Prediction Markets 2026: Trade GPT-5, AGI Timelines & Tech Milestones
1 May 2026AI prediction markets 2026
2026 US Midterm Elections Prediction Markets: Senate & House Control Odds
1 May 20262026 midterm elections prediction market
Tennis Prediction Markets 2026: Grand Slam Odds, ATP & WTA Markets
2 May 2026tennis prediction market 2026
Formula 1 2026 Prediction Markets: Championship Odds, Race Winners & Constructor Title
2 May 2026formula 1 prediction market 2026
UFC & MMA Prediction Markets 2026: Fight Odds, Belt Markets & Method of Victory
2 May 2026UFC prediction market 2026
Ethereum ETF Prediction Markets 2026: Staking, AUM & What Comes Next
2 May 2026ethereum ETF prediction market
10 Prediction Market Mistakes Beginners Make (And How to Avoid Them)
2 May 2026prediction market beginner mistakes
Gold Price Prediction Markets 2026: XAU/USD Milestones & Safe Haven Odds
2 May 2026gold price prediction market 2026
Cricket Prediction Markets 2026: ICC Events, Ashes & T20 World Cup Odds
2 May 2026cricket prediction market 2026
Solana Prediction Markets 2026: SOL Price, ETF Odds & Ecosystem Milestones
2 May 2026solana prediction market 2026
French Open 2026 Prediction Markets: Roland Garros Champion Odds & Clay Analysis
2 May 2026French Open 2026 prediction market
Prediction Market Psychology: 7 Cognitive Biases That Cost You Money
2 May 2026prediction market psychology biases
Polymarket Tutorial 2026: Step-by-Step Guide for Complete Beginners
2 May 2026polymarket tutorial 2026
Prediction Market Community 2026: Telegram Groups, Discord & Learning Resources
2 May 2026prediction market community 2026
Prediction Markets on Your Phone: PolyGram Telegram Mini App Full Review
2 May 2026prediction market phone app telegram
The Ultimate Prediction Market Guide 2026: Everything You Need to Start
2 May 2026prediction market guide 2026
Prediction Market Returns Calculator: How Much Can You Make on Each Trade?
2 May 2026prediction market returns calculator
NBA Finals 2026 Prediction Markets: Who Wins the Championship? Live Odds
2 May 2026NBA Finals prediction market 2026